Is Bengal politics on verge of collapse?
19th Jan’19 in Kolkata on Bigrade ground, there was a massive political rally under the leadership of TMC chief Mamata Banerjee wherein she was able to bring all Modi haters at one place. Total 22 regional parties’ chief came on board.
These unity looks good on paper but is it possible to bring it on ground? May be not as all regional parties have their own agenda.
In case these unity proved fruitful in coming days, won’t India will become a politically unstable country? There is a proof in the history, whenever third front tried to rule India the government could not last for more than six months.
VP Singh, Chandrashekhar, Deve Gowda, Gujral and Vajpayee tried to govern India with help of several regional party, but what happened to their Government, everybody knows.
Those parties participated in the rally are sulking due to Modi wave and have clearly lost their ground. How much they will be benefited out of this unity is yet to be seen.
People like Shatrughan Sinha, Yashvant Sinha, Yashvant Singh, Hardik Patel and Jignesh Mevani will contribute towards upcoming election for this coalition.
What message Mamata is giving while supporting Tukde Tukde gang.
Coming to what she will gain from this maha rally. She is a very clever politician. Her politics revolves around Congress and left. But her biggest fear has come in form of BJP, making inroad to Bengal slowly and has occupied 2nd spot.
That’s why she is hell bent on to prove leader of opposition and if all parties agree to declare her PM candidate, she might be able to win 42 seats in Bengal. This will be her big achievement but that is unlikely to happen as major players like Mmayawati, Rahul Gandhi will never accept her as leader of Coalition.
If this happens and she gets departed with congress and left, BJP will be a clear winner in bengal and her vote base will be reduced.
Congress will eat her vote bank and left will surge. She will be decimated to zero. BJP rising popularity will gain more and will be able to form next government in Bengal.
Therefore the situation is very tricky for Didi this time. She is going to lose ground in Bengal and she will have to take responsibility for this situation.
Congress and left is going to gain from this alliance as they are waiting for right opportunity and Mamata is going to be trapped in this political game.
Ravindra Maurya is a political science and public administration major , Interact daily with number of people with diffrent approach on effecting social and political life.
He writes blog on current affairs with depth analysis of what these incident has to offer in future.