AAP may sweep Punjab and why we should worry about it

Let me start by rebutting the word used by some bloggers “bumper” voting as voting percentage in Punjab is less than the previous election by almost 8% as 2017 official figures are 70% , where as 2012 figures was 78% .

I will agree that the voting figures are good, if we compare the state election polling percentage to other states like UP, Bihar etc, but it is still less because of the reasons listed below:

1. Three way close contests, where all 3 parties are claiming to win.
2. Strong anti incumbency, so voting percentage should increase, but it has failed to even surpass previous year record.
3. AAP is the new player in the state, and we have seen in the past that no opinion polls can predict their performance, they have always surprised everyone.

Based on the articles that I have read and interviews and coverage of whole election, my own analysis of this unique state that always wants change, as Punjabis are known to try new things, are:

1. AAP will sweep rural Punjab, specially the Malwa region, they are winning handsdown, they will win more than 90% seats of Malwa region.
2. Akali+ will register their most humiliating defeat since the independence, their voting percentage can even reduce in to single digit, like in Delhi assembly election Congress gets only 8% votes in 2015.
3. Congress have edge over AAP in city seats because of Amrinder Singh. They will win most of city seats but their main worry is the poor performance of Akali+, which will make difficulty for them and an edge to AAP.
4. Khalistanis have been successful in making inroads into Punjab again after many years riding on the AAP’s back, which is a bad news for not only Punjab but for whole India.
5. Most of these Canadian NRIs that have been roaming around Punjab during election campaign are the follower of Babbar Khalsa and Kejriwal’s proximity with them is no secret to media and political circles. So we should be ready for secessionist and separatists movement in Punjab.
6. We can clearly see that the people of Punjab has voted for change, and that is why most of Pind people want to try new party than the already tried out parties.
7. Unemployed youth of Punjab is a strong factor. Some reports have suggested that they have rooted for AAP this election.

I will conclude by saying that there is a close contest between Congress and AAP but clearly because of of very poor performance by Akali+, edge is with the AAP. And they can win any number of seats in these circumstances.

But I want to pray that the cheerful spirit of Punjab that embodies our culture perfectly. It Shouldn’t get spoiled in this hate politics.