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The dark horse of 2019 – Nitish Kumar

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There is too much noise about Priyanka Gandhi in political circle, who has been recently appointed as a General Secretary of Eastern UP. People are also talking about Samajwadi Party and Bahujan Samaj party coming together for 2019 election. Political pundits are calculating Pros and cons of recently formed coalition of SP and BSP, effect of Priyanka Gandhi in National politics.

Very few political pundits are talking about Bihar Chief Minister Mr Nitish Kumar & Orissa Chief Minister Mr Naveen Patnaik. Both of them are chief minister from long time and are very experienced in National politics. They are known to be very astute while judging political wave in India and are very respected leader by all political party.

Come closer to them in terms of political awareness and popularity is Chief Minister of West Bengal Mamata Banerjee who is trying to form a coalition of third front except Congress and has her own ambition to occupy top post. However, she has limitation even if she wins all the seats in West Bengal, she needs support of Congress or BJP to get to the top post or say nearby top post.

Down south there are leaders like Chandrababu Naidu, KCR, who is also rich in experience and enjoy big public support. One simply can not ignore them. They can be a king maker as 2019 general election will bring different dynamics political environment in India. So If opposition succeeds winning election, then there will be crisis of leadership and everybody will be eyeing for PM post. This rat race is possible only in case Modi magic doesn’t work.

As I mention in the beginning of my article the name of Nitish Kumar and Naveen Patnaik prefering Priyanka Gandhi, since they are more mature and experienced and politically accepted among opposition parties, in most possible circumstances of hung assembly. The need of the hour will be to support a very popular and acceptable political figure as prime minister of India.

These two leaders are very dependable and have very clean image can be PM material due to their vast political experience, although Mamta Banerjee is there in probable PM candidate but she is not very popular among other political parties due to her fighting nature although she has shown support of 22 political parties in recently concluded United opposition rally in Kolkata.

Mr. Naveen Patnaik has taken a stand and is not supporting or not making any coalition with either BJP or Congress, is going alone and we’ll decide his move after 2019 election result.

On other hand Nitish Kumar has formed coalition with old ally NDA with whom he has love and hate relationship. Therefore there are chances that he might ditch NDA if election results are not in favour of NDA. It is in known strategy of Nitish Kumar, whenever he gets an opportunity to be on front page he has taken stand in that favour.

He has already started indicating this political opportunism by letting loose is new friend and party member Mr Prashant Kishor who is biggest political strategists and in past has contributed majorly in several BJP win.

Prashant Kishor is in touch with several other parties and there are secret discussion for probable scenario of 2019 general election result. Nitish Kumar is also getting support from other parties for not supporting BJP in major policy decision and opposing them publicly to retain its vote bank. The move indicates strategy for future.

Therefore I see him the Dark Horse of 2019 election, maybe he will be the PM nominee by the united opposition parties to stop Modi coming in power.

The botched up attempt on EVMs and the Priyanka-factor of the Congress

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The Congress party made a big goof-up with Electronic Voting Machines (EVMs) with their Member of Parliament and the legal luminary of the party Kapil Sibal attending the EVM hackathon in London. It goes without saying, that he (Mr Sibal) wanted to malign India’s voting system and also specifically the image of BJP for its fantastic win in 2014 with a massive mandate. In the due process, he also came out with another ludicrous story that was supposed to have happened in Hyderabad that made the whole nation to laugh at. No one bought his arguments which he claimed ‘serious’ and to be probed as narrated by him in the story.

One maverick, Syed Shuja, making allegations and another eccentric politician asking for the veracity the claims made, as if this country had no other serious business, is something flippant by its very nature. There are two leaders whose potential could destroy the century old Congress party are none other than Kapil Sibal and Manishankar Iyer. Of course, there is no dearth for other Old-bigwigs: the likes of Digvijaya Singh who could cause immense damage to the party but they appear dwarfed before the aforesaid stalwarts.

Kapil Sibal’s recent hackathon in London turned out to be a storm in the teacup. To avert the crisis the Congress party might have chosen for the announcement of Priyanka Gandhi Vadra entry into the party (to deliberately divert the attention of the nation) though she’s not available in the country. Many questioned the haste with which they the party president announced.

The opposition parties that are asking for the credibility of the EVMs have every right to ask for in a democracy. They are privileged to call for a demonstration by the Election Commission. The EC readily gave such demonstrations earlier also for the interested.

When there’s so much of technological advancement, going back to ballot paper is a regressive step. The worry of electoral malpractices is more in ballot paper in India than in EVMs. Earlier in the days of paper- ballot, polling booths were captured. Elections were rigged. TN Seshan, the election commissioner then used to say sarcastically that Indians know only Rig-Veda meaning to say only rigging in elections. In those days, some parties with a rowdy-clout used to replace rigged ballot boxes of their party with the voted- boxes. This used to happen not only in remote corner where the law has no immediate reach, even in cities. To crack such cases, the police have had to risk their lives.

Technology may be tampered will-fully but not otherwise. Election Commission in India is independent and non-partisan. Moreover, before elections, a government of the state or the Centre is only a care- taker government not vested with full powers to do something whimsically. In an election commission, there are innumerable employees to oversee the electoral practice. One cannot doubt all. They have their party affiliations. Hence, they will, in no way, try hard to make one particular party win. The recent statement of the Chief Elections Commissioner to go ahead with the EVMs and that there’s no reversal to paper ballot boxes should close the chapter once and for all.

Coming to Priyanka Vadra’s entry into Congress party as General Secretary and in-charge of eastern Uttar Pradesh is, as expected, a boost to the morale of the beleaguered party and its cadre. For her, it’s an uphill task to face Modi-Yogi duo on their own trough. It’s not the bran but the brain that matters in India. Rahul Gandhi’s political wisdom has made him accept Hindu religion and to be a Hindu in India.

What does Priyanka do, will she talk only on mundane issues of farmers distress, unemployment or highlighting the other so-called failures of the present government or issues coupled with Hindu-psyche, is to be wait and watched. Anyway, as the old adage goes, ‘the proof of the pudding is in the eating’.

Politics over caste versus poverty based reservation

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The core objective, purpose and meaning of caste based reservation requires to be re-visited otherwise only vote bank politics alone would continue and not the end result of such mission.  Any reform measures should uplift the people from the state of penury and neglect to the state of self-realization, self-actualization and self-support in due course of time. The reform measures sooner than later must put the backward class to auto-pilot mode of development. Otherwise the beneficiaries would be made to depend on such support system of the government perennially. Any form of ‘dependent thinking’ or such life style the government should never practice or promote upon people and instead, the government must empower people to be self-reliant and self-serving.

During post-colonial period, caste was taken as the indicator of one’s social status and hierarchical position in the society. But today things have changed considerably and education and economic status has occupied the place of the caste. Discrimination based on educational status and financial status is more obvious and vivid than caste, these days. Therefore the purpose of any government should be to foster opportunities for better education and creating employment opportunities. The support of the government must be extended to people in the society not based on which caste they belong to but it should be based on the economic status so that the economically weaker section will get enough fuel to grow and nurture in the society.

The caste based reservation on the other hand keeps the caste system alive and vibrant. Further such caste based reservation also continuously exposes the privileges of the privileged and make a perception that they have climbed up the ladder not purely based on merit. To abolish such disparity, discrimination and caste system, reservation must be made based on the economic status of people and not caste. This method of reservation would automatically exclude the existing beneficiary from the list when they attain economic independence and naturally the benefit would then flow down to the one who really deserve it.

When the caste based reservation is retained, naturally competitiveness of people are compromised, quality is mutilated and such reform mission will neither do any good to the beneficiary nor to the state.

Only through reservation based on economic status, we can abolish caste discrimination and caste system.

The politicians in India are not willing support the reservation based economic status because such system would abolish caste system progressively and also would make people highly empowered and self-reliant. Playing third rate politics is not possible with such empowered, self-reliant people. Whereas playing caste politics is possible when caste system is retained and the politicians can continuously project the backward class as backward, poor, under developed, under-privileged etc., and can whip the caste system and galvanise the vote.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi has made a yeomen effort to abolish caste system in India, wants the reservation to be based on economic status and the priority of reservation should be to develop the people and not to retain the caste system. Several political parties in India today exist because of the caste system. Therefore most of the opposition parties do not want to abolish the caste system instead they want to keep the respective caste as the most deprived so that they can survive with the mission to improve the life of such caste block.

People of India, especially the present generation and first time voters must recognise the true intent and vision of PM Modi to develop India and achieve sab ka vikas to make Indians proud and empowered. But the fringe players wants to destroy India, wants to become the shareholders of power politics so that the dividends of loot and scam can be apportioned according to their shareholding.

The question is about the future of India. All those regional parties can survive only through grand alliance, but will India survive such disastrous experiment? This question people of India must ask before they vote in 2019.

Prosperity and development centric India, India free of caste and discrimination and India with sab ka vikas want Narendra Modi as Prime Minister of India and not the dynast or regional players.

Mahagathbandhan – ‘Old MacDonald’s Farm’ with quack quack here, there, everywhere

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The regional parties are moving from congress alliance to SP-BSP to Mamata Banarjee to TRS + BJD to what not, reminds people of India about the beautiful kindergarten rhyme ‘Old MacDonald had a farm’ and that had a duck with quack quack here, and a quack quack there, here a quack, there a quack, everywhere a quack quack.

Kumarasamy, the present Chief Minister of Karnataka justifying Mamata Banarjee, the chief minister of West Bengal as the most suited candidate for Prime Minister-ship and simultaneously wants Rahul Gandhi to lead the force as its PM face, Akilesh assuring his support to Maya as Prime Minister if needed, DMK wants Rahul Gandhi to lead the opposition as its Prime Minster face and then taking part in Mamata’s rally claiming silence owing to the different situation in West Bengal and recently the person who was discarded as unwanted and non-usable by BJP, Yashwant Sinha bubbling out his aspiration for PM post; all have caused more confusion and chaos than any clarity to the Indian voters.

In the MacDonalds’ farm there was only one duck which was moving around making quack quack here, there and everywhere. But in India there are so many parties like many ducks if the farm had. Then the old MacDonald could not say which duck is where as the ducks would be moving everywhere. Only one thing Donald could have heard is the loud quack quack sound of several ducks.

People of India should not reduce India to a farm of duck.

The opposition parties have only one agenda that is Narendra Modi should not comeback as Prime Minister of India because he is acting against corruption, dynastic politics and nepotism.   Further he is also developing the nation, uplifting the poor which goes against the ‘existence philosophy’ of most of the opposition parties as they need poor people, poverty and caste division to play politics and use such cards to gather vote.

All these ducks have realized one thing that they want to keep BJP away from power at the centre and simultaneously also want to finish congress. When congress is finished, then their fight would be with the national party- BJP. Knowingly or due to compulsion, Congress appears to have fallen victim to own predators and hunters.

If congress wants to remain as a strong national party, it must break and weaken the opposition unity but in fact congress is working to strengthen the regional forces. Emergence of regional politics is not good for the ethos of one India.

Congress with its present leader, the great dynast does not have great future and only way it can comeback in a combating mode is by weakening the regional parties otherwise the regional parties will completely eat the space of congress.

The irony is that the regional parties like BSP, SP, TMC etc., wants Mahagathbandhan without congress which congress wants to support because congress wants to defeat BJP. The JDS with least number of MLA’s is ruling Karnataka with the large heart of congress but it wants to be a part of Mahagathbandhan, devoid of congress.

DMK that wants Rahul Gandhi as the Prime Minister face of the united opposition parties wants to be part of another Mahagathbandhan without congress. TDP which experiments its fortune with congress and failed miserably in the recently held election in Telengana is now playing safe not to partner with congress in 2019.

It is not the BJP, the congress must worry a lot about Mahagathbandhan. If congress is not willing to learn from its defeat and realize the danger that it is in the hands of its predators and hunters (the regional parties) and congress does not demolish their political aspiration of all those regional parties, congress may dig its own dooms day.

If congress contest alone and oppose both BJP and regional parties, even if congress fail to come to power this time but still it can retain its national identity and in distant future, the party can fulfill the dream and birth right of its last emperor to become Prime Minister of India – ONE DAY.

Most of the regional parties are moving around like liquid which will move and spread wherever it can fill and stay together. None of the regional parties have any agenda except capture power.  Only one thing that keeps them moving from pillar to post is power to loot the nation and oppose and defeat Prime Minister Narendra Modi as they’re badly scared of him. Congress having played significant role in freedom struggle should not become a pawn in the hands of regional forces and dig its own grave yard.

Need of the hour for the congress is not about defeating Narendra Modi but defeat regional forces that are eating and eroding the space of congress. Congress also must expose the hypocrisy of DMK by demanding entire 39 parliamentary seats as the DMK president claimed that the aspiration of people of Tamil Nadu is Rahul Gandhi to be the Prime Minister of India. Such opportunity also would give DMK to dilute its anti-Brahmin brand politics.

People of India must ask they want stabile, development centric, sab ka vikas governance or destruction of India. Narendra Modi led BJP must come back to power with massive majority in 2019 and only then India will be safe. Hope India voters will vote for development and sab ka vikas.

BJP will definitely be down but is it out after the SP BSP alliance in UP?

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There is a cliché saying in the political arena that the path to prime minister’s office in India goes through Uttar Pradesh. While this may not entirely be correct as there are instances in the recent pasts where parties not doing good in UP were able to form governments at centre, this would certainly hold good for BJP.

As BJP stands today where it is yet to make inroads in states like Tamil Nadu, Kerela, Andhra, Telengana and WB (WB may throw some surprises) and has few political parties which would support it in a post poll alliance, hence giving it pretty less margin of error in UP and Northern belt.

Coming to UP where BJP swept the state in 2014 and again in the subsequent state elections, SP and BSP faced existential crisis and have thus recently announced an alliance to fight the elections together. In order to understand the affects of this coalition lets visit the below graph, the graph has randomly selected Lok Sabha constituencies of UP covering all areas like Western, Eastern, Central UP, Bundelkhand and Rohilkhand. The graph plots the vote shares of BJP, SP+BSP (algebraic sum) and the delta (difference between one and two). In around 13 seats of the 30 seats BJP has the edge while in the remaining 17 SP+BSP has the lead. Let’s put these numbers in perspective:

Effects of the recent coalition

• The figures clearly show that BJP would face a dent in its seats post the SP BSP combine but the picture may not be dismal as stated by some channels giving BJP a sub 20 number.
• In 2017 state elections BJP was able to keep the vote share around 40% a dip of around 2% from its vote share in 2014.
• While SP-BSP combine tasted success in by-polls but the story would be different in general elections where factors like leadership and stable government will play an important role.
• The coalition still has to answer who would be its prime ministerial candidate and the recent rally in Kolkata showed that confusion over leadership.
• In the recently concluded assembly elections BJP was able to contain its vote shares even after facing long anti-incumbency.
• While the leaderships of SP-BSP have decided to join hands , will the vote transfer take place so smoothly is a big question, the two parties have fought each other for past 25 years and have very dissimilar vote bases. While consolidation of minority vote banks will happen, whether SP will be able to transfer its Yadav vote base to BSP and BSP its backward class vote base to SP will be a question, BJP being already dented the BSP’s vote base in previous elections. Thus even a 8%-10% leakage of the votes in favor of BJP can make a huge impact to the results.
• Thus even if BJP loses some of its voters of 2014, substantial amount of leakage may happen from either parties giving it a respectable score in the state.

In the 2014 elections Modi wave was so strong, typically anybody would have fought and won election in UP, but the coming elections will be a real test for the party as it decides the candidates keeping in mind the various calculations on combating the vote transfer between SP and BSP.

How the government is running in Karnataka with the CM regularly conveying his inability to take decisions and the previous experiences of third front government have established the importance of leadership and stability. How well BJP communicates this would also play an important role on how people vote.

There have been sporadic talks that BJP would settle for a non-Modi leader in case NDA is unable to get the majority on its own and wants to seek the support of other parties, but that looks highly improbable with the current style of BJP leadership .Thus in case the NDA does not get to power , we may see a Khichdi government at center and subsequent polls as the khichdi government may not long last.

One of the biggest vagaries of a khichdi government and absence of strong leadership is the inability to take strong decisions, for instance would GST be implemented in case of a khichdi government is a question.

While BJP has started to take decisions like 10% reservation for general category and populist measures are expected in 2019 budget, execution of its health insurance scheme, political manoeuvring etc would decide to what extent it will be able to contain its losses in UP and regain the government at centre.

Decoding IBC 2016 in a simple and short manner

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Every nation around the globe has its own laws associated with Insolvency and Bankruptcy. However, many nations, that are not India, have expanded upon the rules associated with these laws with time. It has not until 1992 that the Indian constitution decided to formulate robust insolvency and resolution plan, and it was not only until 2016 that this plan gained a place in the Company Laws of India. The Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, or to be succinct, the IBC might not be the pinnacle of perfection. However, it has done some extremely significant important things that require us to pay attention. That being said, most of the stuff that is available to read is not simple. To that end, heed to this article and you are going to know all about Insolvency and Bankruptcy in its simplest terms.

Definition of Insolvency and bankruptcy
Insolvency: Insolvency refers to a financial state where an entity has taken some debts that it is not able to pay back on the prescribed time. The entity, in this case, is called an insolvent entity. This entity can either be an individual or an organization, as a company.
Bankruptcy: Bankruptcy refers to the declaration of insolvency. This declaration can be made by the debtor himself (if the debtor is only an individual) or the creditors (the only option if the debtor is a company).

The handicap of the Insolvency Laws Until 2016
Most of the insolvency laws until 2016 can be talked about in two acts: The Presidency Housing act, and the provisional Bankruptcy Act. As much as these laws were applicable, they both had downsides that couldn’t be ignored:

The time is taken to deal with the insolvency issues was too long: There have been decades where the time took to resolve the insolvency issue could take up decades.

The laws were pretty fragmented: The acts that we have mentioned where two different acts. This difference stopped them from being enforceable at times. Furthermore, the difference also created a fair amount of confusion.

They could repel foreign investors: Due to the long time it took to resolve the insolvency, the foreign investors were never very enthusiastic to commit to Indian start-ups.

The old laws basically debtor centric: While the principle of natural justice dictate that the insolvent individual is helped, the creditor’s needs should also be catered to. While it was not ignored, it was strong enough.

These acts are two of the fragmented acts that made it evident that a change is the need of the hour. And therefore, the Insolvency and Bankruptcy act was born:

IBC 2016
The IBC code came with the promise the insolvency acts shall be defragmented and the resolution process shall be handled in a matter of days, not decades.

To that end, they presented and enforced the following features:

  1. Creating a singular regulatory body: In order to represent a single coherent act, the code introduced a single regulatory body whose job was to oversee the resolution process of the insolvency. Additionally, the body also oversees the tribunals who judge these codes.
  2. Creating separate tribunals for individuals and companies: These tribunals or adjudicating authorities are now different for individuals and companies. For the individuals, the tribunal is DRT (Debt Recovery Tribunal) for companies, the tribunal is NCLT (National Company Law Tribunal)
  3. Creating laws to appoint an Insolvency professional: The primary goal of the goal was to successfully employ the process of insolvency. In order to do so, the Code created laws to appoint an insolvency professional who can undertake the process of insolvency resolution in a coherent and complete fashion. The agencies that are associated with such professionals are called insolvency professional agencies.
  4. Insolvency resolution process: This perhaps the essence of the code. The insolvency resolution process is a well-formulated process that uses the information of the company finances taken from the MCA website (information utility) and combines the expertise of the insolvency professional. The entire process is to be completed within a span of 180 days, with 270-day extension given.

These features have bore a lot of fruit. Till Now, nearly INR 3 Lakhs Crores have been recovered from the companies. Furthermore, the foreign investors now find is easy to do business in India.

This was but a brief explanation about the code. You can read about them online if you want, as now you would be able to understand what they are actually talking about.

Is Akhilesh Yadav the real force behind the Congress’ Priyanka move?

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The appointment of Priyanka Gandhi as the Congress General Secretary responsible for UP-East, certainly is a cause of celebration for dejected and defeated workers of Congress as well its many strategists who double up as full-time neutral Journalists predicting a range of catastrophes from army coup to advent of fascism and writing columns on how to defeat the BJP. But the man having the biggest smile on his face today is Akhilesh Yadav, the Samajwadi Party dynast, once called Aurangzeb by a journalist for launching a power struggle battle with his own ailing father, Mulayam Singh Yadav.

That Rahul and Akhilesh are fond of each other and will never harm each other politically is no secret. Even as Mayawati and Akhilesh were announcing their pact for 2019, this bonhomie was quite evident when the SP scion refused to join Mayawati in attacking Congress. During the press conference , when asked who the PM will be post 2019 general elections, Akhilesh cleverly shied away from taking any names, but emphasised that he will be happy if someone from UP becomes the PM. Mayawati, sitting next to him and unable to contain her glee, gave a big smile, assuming he was referring to her, but little did she realize that Akhilesh’s response was actually a pointer to the fact that the two heroes of that 2017 flop movie – UP ke ladke – were upto something.

Post Mayawati’s insistence on keeping the Congress out of any alliance in UP, Rahul and Akhilesh have come up with a sinister plan whereby Congress will help maximise the seat gains for SP by offering no real challenge on seats where SP will contest but will pose a stiff triangular challenge wherever BSP will contest. This will serve the dual purpose  of allowing a possibility for the Congress gain some seats and the same time cutting the BSP to its size by adversely impacting its chances. Giving an official role to Priyanka is a tactical move with an immediate goal to create hurdles for Mayawati while having almost no impact on Akhilesh. There is a strong probability that after 2019 general elections, Priyanka will get back to her passive involvement in the party affairs like she has done earlier too, leaving the political turf for her brother.

Giving an active role to Priyanka is a clever ploy of the Congress to disarm Mayawati  and limit her influence in any post 2019 political arrangement at the same time. This seems to be part of a larger game plan to eclipse the growing profile of Mayawati as well prop up Congress as a party of downtrodden specially Dalits and poor Muslims, relying on Priyanka’s charisma. On the face of it, these machinations appear to be a direct outcome of a close door understanding between Rahul Gandhi and the ever smooth-talking Akhilesh.

Know this, to sweep an election in Uttar Pradesh, each party has to stitch its own unique caste alliance as below:

BJP : Upper Caste polarization with a large chunk of non-Yadav OBCs and not Jatav SCs

SP: Muslim – Yadav consolidation plus the solid backing of non Yadav OBCs specially Kurmis/Koeris and Rajputs (Thakurs) who are most amenable to SP amongst Upper castes.

BSP: Dalit -Muslim consolidation plus a substantial chunk of Upper caste and non-Yadav OBCs. In the Upper castes, its the Brahmins who are most amenable to BSP.

Congress: Dalit – Muslim -Brahmin consolidation plus some poor OBCs.

Now, it is quite likely that a substantial part of the seats that BSP will get under the SP-BSP will fall under the parts of Awadh region, Eastern and North-Eastern UP. These are the areas where BSP has traditionally been very strong due to a high concentration of Dalits and poor Muslims, who tend to not vote strategically unlike their brethren in Western UP and Rohilkhand which is where SP is expected to get  its bulk of seats besides its stronghold of Doab region. Bundelkhand and parts of Awadh will be most likely divided equally.

If this will be true, then Priyanka’s influence area will strongly coincide with that of the BSP. And this is definitely a  bad news for the BSP due to the following reasons:

BSP and Congress compete for almost same caste and community voters in these areas. Although the upper castes in these areas tend to favour a party which is most likely to come to power, in recent times they have strongly identified themselves with Modi and Yogi. There is no strong anecdotal evidence to suggest that they are so unhappy with BJP that they could switch over to either Congress or BSP.

The appeal of a dynast, royalty and an outright elite like Priyanka will be higher among the economically poor and the downtrodden. This is mostly rural Dalit and poor OBCs. If there is any shift of this vote to Congress, it will always be away from BSP.

Muslims, who in any case view Mayawati with suspicion due to her track record of allying with the BJP, will have a very appealing alternative in front of them.

The percentage of SP votes, which could plausibly be transferred to BSP in these areas will take a hit if the winnability of BSP comes under the cloud as SP’s vote bank is neo-elite and will tend to go with the winner for the patronage reasons. In addition, the tacit hinting from SP leadership will make sure that its voter gets the right message.

Lets analyze the situation for SP in contrast. By nominating a lacklustre and poor organizer like Jyotiradita Scindia as the General Secretary for UP West, Rahul has clearly confirmed fighting SP is merely a Noora Kushti. Such a scenario will surely help SP and BJP is bound to suffer some losses where the fight will be bipolar.

The question that logically follows from this clever strategy is what are the gains for the Congress and the SP. These will be as below:

1.If BSP gets a decent number of seats, then it will be very hard to deny her the post of Prime Minister as this will be taken as an insult by whole of Dalit community regardless of BSP voters or not. No Party can risk that.

2. Rise of Mayawati hurts Congress the most since it has already lost most of its upper caste voters to the BJP and the OBC voters are in most states captured by the regional parties. So, Congress will do whatever to stop BSP from growing.

3. In a very probable scenario of NDA is slightly short of majority on its own, the MPs from the BSP will be most vulnerable as many of them buy the tickets and have no ideological commitment. Preventing a large-scale victory of BSP will make the lookout for missing numbers all that difficult.

4. Congress has to grow in the UP and at this moment, it can only grow at the cost of BSP with SP and BJP closely guarding their traditional vote banks.

5. Akhilesh turns out to be the Leader No.1 of Uttar Pradesh and SP the largest party.

So all in all, the recent political developments in UP are working in favour of  Akhilesh Yadav. He seems to be in total control and is proving to be even a better politician than his father.

As for Mayawati, Abraham Lincoln once said  “The best way to destroy an enemy is to make him a friend”. Quite clearly he did not mean the Akhilesh’s way.

Priyanka Gandhi – Final nail in congress’ coffin

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The month of February is here and we will see Priyanka Vadra being fully active in Indian politics. From long time she was behind the curtains and helped in her own capacity.

The news of Prinyanka Gandhi Vadra’s arrival in active politics has spread like fire and congress is celebrating it like a big achievement. Congress cadre has been given new lease of life.

Congress authority is making her Uttar Pradesh in-charge for 2019 election and hoping that she will revive congress’ 2009 performance. Congress has made a big bet on Priyanka and future of congress. If she succeeds in her assignment she will be on way to become the next Indira Gandhi. But on contrary if she fails it will be final nail in the coffin of congress.

Now as she has got involved directly into active politics, it will be interesting to see what contribution she is going to make in Indian politics and if she can lift a sinking congress’ ship.

Rahul Gandhi just completed 13 months as national president of congress but if we leave recent win in election of 3 state that is more of incidental win due to anti incumbency of previous government, most of the election he has lost to Bhartiya Janta Party.

Therefore political analyst says that Priyanka inclusion in active politics is a long term vision, it is not for 2019 election but this decision is made to secure congress future as there is no Gandhi left, who can ensure a win on his or her oratory skills or show leadership charisma.

Senior congress leaders know that in election 2019, they are nowhere compare to NDA and regional party prospect but to get benefits of Gandhi surname and keep congress alive, have to adopt and prepare new leaders who can take up Rahul Gandhi’s place. This is well thought strategies implemented by old guard of Congress, since Rahul’s charisma as an effective congress leader will be lost after this general election.

Probable scenario of 2019 election, where congress will be: In Southern India, there is no scope because of regional parties’ dominance. In Northern India, Bihar will have a direct fight between RJD and NDA, Uttarpradesh will have big fight between BSP/SP and NDA. The East India’s Bengal will be more of TMC, BJP and left parties than congress fight, Northeast fights belong to regional parties and BJP. In Western parts of India, in Maharashtra there will be show off between several parties, therefore congress stands merely a chance.

Lets talk about Uttar Pradesh where Priyanka has been appointed to uplift congress’ fortune. If we consider upper class vote, who dominates, after EWS bill passed by NDA, definitely these votes will go to BJP. Muslims, Yadav and Dalit votes will go to SP/BSP and other backwards vote will most probably going to BJP.

Therefore it’s big question to congress why they have appointed Priyanka to be a failure like her brother.

Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh is the only state where congress has a direct fight with BJP. Punjab and Delhi again has several parties fighting for win, so it will be interesting to see how congress performs there.

What does this mean to opposition parties and what shape congress will take after this step? What is laying ahead for congress president Rahul Gandhi? Does other opposition fear Priyanka’s debut? Is this new entry because of Modi fear or a sheer ignorance by the recent Mahagathbandhan? The result of election will decide future of (less of) congress and (more of) Gandhi Parivar.

I am going to vote first time in my 51 years this time, here is why

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I shall be a first time voter at the age of 51, in 2019.

Never voted before because by the time I became eligible to vote I had seen the dirtiest of Indian Politics, right from Nepotism, Appeasement Politics, Corruption in every echelon of Government machinery, Paid Media, to callous attitude of politicians towards the country which they ruled with such misplaced sense of entitlement as if the country was their kingdom. Congress to me, epitomized all what was wrong with this Nation and BJP, with it’s aggressive Hindutva Stand was an alien notion to me (being a third generation in the Army) not in tune with the times and aspirations of the people. Besides, because of being in Power for so many years Congress eco-system was so powerful that no opposition Party could ever withstand it’s onslaught. History is witness to how the nation was destabilized every time there was a Non-Congress Party in Power. So, for me Voting was a futile exercise.

And then in 2014 Mr Modi came to power. Everybody who was somebody in the previous system, started a narrative of Democracy being in danger and rise of intolerance. I too held my breath fearing minority genocide and promulgation of draconian Laws which would strip me of my Liberty and Rights. I waited for full 4 years but that did not happen. Instead, I heard stories of empowerment, be it distribution of LPG to ladies in villages irrespective of religion and caste or construction of toilets under Swachch Bharat Abhiyan, whether it was Financial Inclusiveness and electrification in remote areas or empowerment through Digital India. There was a positive change happening on the ground Level.

However, despite these positives, all I heard on MSM was about non- performance of Modi Govt. It was as if he was to miraculously rid India of all the evils in these 5 years, which had been eating India since ages. I mean, it is not as if he has been the worst PM of India till date. But the way he was being projected by media and opposition, it looked like it.

On closer look, I found that the whole corrupt Eco-System was so consumed by hatred for this one man that they were simply manufacturing lies, fake news, spreading hatred and uniting with their opponents only with a common cause to bring this one person down. The white lies of Rafale and hacked EVM being forced down the throat of gullible citizens as scam, since they could find none in the present dispensation. Never before, the system went so all out in it’s efforts to discredit an individual, like in the present .

I then realized, that it was so because they were being challenged and their existence was in danger. This one man was a threat to this Corrupt System. If his credibility is not destroyed now, he shall destroy them forever. If he wins again, they lose forever. And it was at this moment that I decided to get myself on the voters List.

Yes I shall Vote for Mr Modi in 2019!

Is he without Flaws…No….he has his share of faults but none that tantamount to harming the nation….. Has he fulfilled all his Election promises….No…but I believe he means to keep them and he requires more time for that. Yes, I shall vote for him for the simple things which makes him stand tall among his peers.

1. He Rose to this position simply on his merit. He has a vision for this Country and has the capability of transforming that vision into realty.
2. He has worked hard to transform India, be it Sanitation, rural electrification, Housing, Health Services, Financial Inclusion, Banking Sector or subsidies for poor reaching it’s rightful claimant. One can see the difference brought about by these schemes on the grass root levels.
3. His efforts are being appreciated internationally by the Global leaders and leading international institutions
4. Despite being CM for 3 terms and this one term as PM, not a single charge of corruption sticks to him, which is really a huge credit to a politician.
5. He has given respectability to the Chair and earned respect for the India internationally.

What if he doesn’t come back as a PM-

1. The system, which ensured such disparity of wealth in our country that some Indians became rich beyond imagination but India as a country remained poor, will win.
2. You will have an unstable coalition Government and one of these will be your PM… Rahul Gandhi, Mayawati, Akhilesh Yadav, or Mamta Banerjee.
3. All the big Sub-judice corruption cases and scams, will be put in a cold storage. The old eco-system will again be back with vengeance.
4. The Dynasty culture will rule the roost , with its roots going deeper and Merit will have no say in the Politics. Just check the list of MP’s from all the Parties. Except BJP, TNC and some Left parties, rest all have Hereditary MP’s in Majority. INC of course leads the way.
5. All the projects crediting Modi MAY be stalled even if they are good for Nation. We have already seen how Aayushman Bahrat was withdrawn from a few states and how projects approved by BJP have been stalled by the states ruled by Non BJP Government.
6. Naxal & Terrorist activities across India will rise up again and so will the Fake NGO’s funding these activities.
7. And it will not be Nation first. It will be Family First.

My request to NOTA brigade. Vote for Modi this one time. By giving Modi another chance, there may still be a chance of India changing for good but if opposition comes to power, looking at the profile of leaders, that chance too will be lost. Let us not live to regret that there was once a chance to get a Man who cared for the nation to Power, but it was lost because we did not vote.

My request to all Congress Party supporters. Please keep nation above your party loyalty, vote for Modi this one time and free your Party from the shackles of slavery. By not supporting the The dynasty and it’s courtiers , you shall pave way for ordinary and competent party persons rising to helm based purely on merit. Unshackle and Bring back the Glory of the oldest party, by making it a Party of deserving people who would think of the Nation First and Not the Family first.

Here is what you should know about the grand Make in India and its objectives, benefits and results

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What is make in India?
Prime Minister Narendra Modi launched the “Make in India” program on September 25, 2014 at a function organized at Vigyan Bhawan. The main objectives behind the initiative are to focus on skill development in 25 sectors of the job creation and economy. The aim of “Make in India” is to reduce the impact on high quality standards and the environment. Make in India is hoping to attract capital and technology investment in India.

The purpose of Make in India is to make the country a manufacturing hub. Both the domestic and foreign investors have been originally promised to provide a favorable environment to create employment opportunities by converting strong Indian population of 125 crores into a manufacturing center. This will have a profound impact in a serious business and includes two inherent elements needed for any innovation – to exploit new routes or opportunities and to meet the challenges of keeping the right balance.

‘Make in India’ can actually be seen as an equitable mix of economic discretion and administrative reforms.

Make in India Logo
Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s ambitious Mission, Make in India, has been created by a foreign company. This logo shows the goal of making the country a manufacturing hub. The logo of this popular scheme of India has been made by the foreign company, it has come under the Right to Information Act (RTI).

Replying to the question of Madhya Pradesh activist Chandra Shekhar Gaur, Union Commerce and Industry Ministry said that  Weiden Plus Kennedy India Limited was selected to design the logo of Make in India  which had designed the logo.

Make in India
Make in India Logo

Objectives of Make in India:
Aim to increase the manufacturing sector by 12-14% annually in comparison to the medium term.
Increase the share of manufacturing in the country’s GDP by 2022 to 16% to 25%.
Creating 100 million additional jobs by 2022 in manufacturing sector
Creating appropriate skills for overall development in rural migrants and urban poor people.
Increasing technical knowledge in domestic value addition and manufacturing.
Increasing the global competitiveness of Indian manufacturing sector
Ensuring sustainability of development in relation to the Indian specially environment.
Make in India focuses on the following twenty-five areas:

  1. Automobiles
  2. Automobile component
  3. Aviation
  4. Biotechnology
  5. Chemistry
  6. Construction
  7. Defense manufacturing
  8. Electrical machinery
  9. Electronic systems
  10. Food Processing
  11. Information Technology and Business Process Management
  12. Leather
  13. Media and Entertainment
  14. Mineral
  15. Oil and gas
  16. Pharmaceuticals
  17. Port and shipping
  18. Railway
  19. Renewable energy
  20. Road and highway
  21. Space and astronomy
  22. Textiles & Clothing
  23. Thermal power
  24. Tourism and Hospitality
  25. Welfare

Profit and impact of Make in India:
In January 2015, Spice Group announced a $ 75.16 million investment to set up a manufacturing unit for budget smartphones in Uttar Pradesh.

Establishment of a new R & D in Huawei in Bengaluru:
In February 2015 Chinese technology company Huawei has made a big investment of US $ 170 million to set up a new research and development (R & D) campus in Bangalore. 5,000 engineers can be accommodated in this premises spread over 20 acres.

In March 2015, Fiat’s manufacturing component, Magnie Mareli, started operations to manufacture Electronic Fuel Injection (EFI) in a joint venture with Hero Motocorp, a leading two-wheeler manufacturer in Manesar.

In May 2015, Hyundai Heavy Industries partnered with the help of Hindustan Shipyard Limited, Visakhapatnam to build naval ships in India, with this assistance, the shipbuilding industry of India will go a long way.

Daimler’s investment:
The 100% wholly-owned subsidiary of Daimler India Commercial Vehicle Pvt Ltd (DICV), Daimler AG, Stuttgart, Germany, announced the inauguration of its new bus construction facility in Orgam in Tamilnadu and also to Bharat Benz and Mercedes-Benz buses. Unveiled |

According to the World Economic Forum (Devos) report, India, tourism and travel reached 65 to 52 in the competitive index.

In June 2015, French aircraft manufacturing company LH Aviation signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Indian OIS Advanced Technologies (OIS-AT) to build strategic drones in India.

First place in Baseline Profitability Index 2015
India reached the first position in the Baseline Profitability Index 2015 in 2015. In 2014, India remained 6th in the Baseline Profitability Index.

Mercedes-Benz India inaugurated its second manufacturing facility in Chakan, which would double the plant’s capacity of 20,000 units per year. The total investment is more than $ 148 million US Dollars.

In August 2015, Taiwan’s Foxcon, the world’s largest contract electronics manufacturer, is the key supplier for Apple Inc., signed an agreement with Maharashtra to invest US $ 5 billion in five years in the semiconductor manufacturing facility.

Lenovo and Motorola Investment
Another boost for electronics manufacturing, Lenovo and Motorola took advantage of this while announcing their plans to build a smartphone in India at 40,000 square feet factory in Sriperumbudur, near Chennai.

Xiamy started local production in Visakhapatnam under the Make in India program in August 2015. The plant specially assembles the Xiamem phone and is the second manufacturing unit of Xiamen outside China.

Amazon, the world’s largest Internet retailer, has opened a warehouse in Pune in September 2015, in which 5 million cubic feet is in place.

The seventh most valuable brand in the world
India became the seventh most valuable nation brand in the world, with its brand value increasing by 32 percent to $ 2.1 billion in 2015.

In November 2015, India attracted investment of US $ 18 billion from September 2014, which has seen the country being seen as a potential electronics manufacturing powerhouse. Some prominent people, including Samsung, Bosch, Philips, LG and Flextronics, have shown keen interest in making their manufacturing bases here.

International Tractors Ltd (Sonalika) has invested USD 75 million to set up its new Hoshiarpur plant in Punjab, which has the capacity to generate 0.2 million tractors per year. The plant will have a single production line for all types and models and an engine assembly line for 500 engines / day.

Heavy investment of Alstom and GE
On November 30, 2015, Ministry of Railways, Alstom and GE Transport signed formal agreements for locomotive construction factories in Madhepura to install 400 billion rupees (US $ 5.9 billion).