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Bad loan of 68000 Crore written off: Revisiting the Anatomy

The news about the huge write off comes amid the lockdown when the union government is working hard to guard the interest of different stakeholders from the catastrophic effect of COVID pandemic and grabbing a reasonable attention in lutyens lobbies of politician, academician and media. The scathing attack on the government started on 24th April 2020, when RBI in a RTI reply admitted to writing off a staggering amount of 68,607 crore due from the willful defaulter. In a way to mislead the common people, Congress leader Rahul Gandhi accused the government of waving a loan worth 68000 crore of top 50 willful defaulters at the time of distress and adopting a step motherly attitude towards poor farmers. Many opposition leaders also lashed out at Centre’s decision for showing more concern to willful defaulter than the common man affected by the lockdown. Congress spokesperson Randeep Singh Surjewala in this recent video conference conveyed that “This is a classic case of promoting dupe, deceive and depart policy of the government and no longer accepted.” He also referred as a case of misconceived priorities and dishonest intention. 

In similar lines, the decision was also opposed by JDS leader H.D Kumaraswamy. While launching an attack over the Centre, he blamed the government to keep silence over the demand of the state to announce economic packages and use the fund to protect the interest of big industrialists. Evidently, the decision to write off the bad loans has been under constant criticism from the opposition and more or less only representing their political agenda.  This act of sensationalizing the facts not only misleads the peoples but also demands to revisit the debate with some economic perspective.  

Undoubtedly, the media and opposition have been mixing up two terms that is ‘Loan waiver’ and ‘Loan write off’ from very long time and hence creating a lot of ambiguity in the mind of common people. Writing off a loan simply used to clean the balance sheet of banks and applied in case of bad loans considering that it does not have any future value. A non-performing asset (NPA) is written off when no avenues of recovery left and chances to realize anything further seem remote. In addition to this, loan write off does not deny banks the right to recover the money from the borrower. However the loan waiver is entirely different from writing off as it is the cancellation of recovery and refraining from claiming the dues.

In the time, when the whole world is fighting with the unprecedented situation and all intervention by the government to contain the virus has a long term economic implication. The well undertaken steps of government to write off the bad loan seems important to develop the sense of confidence needed in our financial system. The decision is crucial as a massive economic crisis is being projected in the post COVID period by many international agencies and hence expedite the need to keep our financial system healthy so that the country can move forward. However, it does not mean that loan is waived off. Also the recent provision made for NPA’s is the outcome of the four year Provisioning Cycle laid down by the regulator RBI. The data suggests, through a similar process a loan of 1.45 lacks crore has been written off in UPA regime by the scheduled commercial banks.

On the problem of “willful defaulter” it is equally relevant to understand their origin and classification. A company is classified as willful defaulter, if it has not met the repayment obligation despite having capacity to pay although if we revisit the past, it is very pertinent that most of them are basically benefitted in UPA regime. Even in one of the responses to parliamentary panels, former governor of RBI Raghuram Rajan indicates most of the bad loans problem that ravaged banks to the period from 2006-2008 when the congress was in power and were given to the promoter with the history of default.

Additionally, Congress not only alleged the government to favor the top most defaulters like Nirav Modi, Mehul Choksi and Vijya Mallaya whose loans are technically written off but also accused for waving off loan worth rupees 6 lacks crore in their regime. Contrary to this, the figures paint an absolutely different picture. Data suggests at present, the government is pursuing 9967 recovery suits, 3515 FIR’s and invoking Fugitive Amendment Act against these willful defaulters. The other recovery step include auctioning of various assets and possessions. Till now, the total value of attachment and seizures in the cases of the top most defaulters is 18332.7 crores. Also through the series of tweets, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman attempted to clarify the rumors against the government and requested the opposition for not referring the report out of context. She further conveyed in her tweet that extradition request has been made to countries where defaulters are living in. 

To conclude, in the time when we are supposed to show solidarity, the intention of government should not be questioned. Given the prolonged impact of lockdown, the government not only announced an economic package for the industrial sector but intensively working to help the farmers and labors also. Already a relief package of 1.70 lakh crore was announced to benefit at least 80 crore poor people. However for long term wellbeing of a country, to revive the financial system is simultaneously important. Irrespective of all the liquidity measures, investors are plunging out their money and hence validate to write off the bad loans. It should be further noted that an efficient and sound financial system not only foster the economic growth of a country but also impact the existence of a company which can be seen as a major source of employment. With the recent report of ILO, where they estimated the massive job loss in the post COVID period, the decision to uplift the economy needs to be appreciated.  

Author: Dr. Neha Nainwal is teaching in Lakshmibai College, University of Delhi

Mistakes not missiles- What should move the liberal Indian

The word ‘Liberal’ as defined by the Oxford dictionary means respecting and allowing many different types of beliefs or behavior and is one of the most sought after marque by the “pseudo-intellectual Hindu” without them meriting it. The word appears ‘cool’ as the opposite of the word seems to imply feudal, hidebound, and retrograde values that have become ‘old-fashioned’ in today’s day and epoch.

Previously the tag of being a liberal was reserved and only flaunted by the pseudo-secularist in their wine lit drawing rooms amidst the chill of their air conditioners fenced by classes of cheese.

Now coming 2020, Liberalism and Secularism are now little more than terms of cruelties in India. Even in that aloof past when it was wholly acceptable to mention the term in polite company, there was a lot of fuzziness about its meaning. But now amidst the hue and cry of the Covid-19 pandemic we have been again reminded that liberalism and secularism are vital ingredients of a democracy and that it means not just the divorce of religion from the state but also the subservience of religion to the state in matters of national importance.

The lesson is driven home by the conduct of certain Tablighis, zealous Ram Bhakts, and armed Nihangs.

The Tablighi Jamaat botched this basic subordination of religion when it disobeyed the directive and mandate of the Delhi government against gatherings of more than 200 people and the steeper ban on congregations of 50 individuals that jolted in after March 13th, when the Tablighi’s affair got over.

The Jamaat leaders behaved with life-threatening frivolity, using religion to incite people to stay inside the Markaz and to ignore government emergency pointers. What was more worrying is the performance of Tabhlighi members with police and doctors. There had been reports of these clan members spitting out from the buses, on medics and paramedics while in quarantine hubs.

In bulletins, there were statements of people assaulting doctors in Indore. What followed was a countrywide deliberation on the “communal color” being given to the novel coronavirus in India. On one end the critiques of the administration have termed this “a bid to make an entire cult a stooge of regime’s negligence and a scheme to avert attention from its near-disaster supervision of migrant laborers commute without any concrete plan in place”.

As awaited the right-wing liberals attacked the intents of Indian Muslims and called out the Indian “secularism” or what they term “pseudo-secularism” for the chain of events. As the anti-government and pro-government sides encountered themselves on communalism and secularism, the concrete delinquent again had taken a back seat.

By just saying that the government is trying to create hype around this to divert attention from its failures, you are doing more harm to Indian Muslims and secularism.The administration’s accomplishments and failures are out in open for every Indian to see. Should a reasonable mind not recognize that religious celebrities like Maulana Saad are also a part of the puzzle in times of an epidemic?

A person, who exerts enormous and unrestricted power over his religious community, should have acted more dutifully. The cases are exploding all over the globe. In spite of being warned by the Ministry of Home and police forces, the Phoney prophets of Islam didn’t think twofold about the casualties for his followers and the rest of the nation.

Netizens are sharing a tweet by the PTI saying that the government said that it is not a health emergency yet when the congregation took place. Some are even saying that the ruling party was mischievously busy forming rule in Madhya Pradesh and the PM himself was witnessing a swearing-in ritual.

Unpredictably, the liberal side who precisely shun and glance down upon “whataboutery” are indulging in identical acts either by emphasizing a temple visit by the UP chief minister of by citing a Gau-mutra bash organized by Hindu Mahasabha.

But, this finger directing and accusations will not serve any resolution except for fostering the divide between people. Two sins can never make a right. This isn’t a Hindu-Muslim debate. This is about reasonableness and religion.

To merely pinpoint to the faults of others and to advocate that the Jamaat is not the solitary guilty party is like saying that the Holocaust was partially Adolf Hitler’s blunder because the global stalwarts could have immobilized him before single-handedly but did not.

The fact that notwithstanding warnings of the police these people went forward with the congregation is in itself an adequate intention to hold them responsible. And this was a religious community affair, which makes it imperative to deliberate religious reforms. The fact that a Priest or a Maulana or a Pandit can impact people thwart them from fearing a pandemic is a startling situation for a republic that seeks to imbibe scientific nature midst its citizens and references it in directive principles and fundamental duties of the constitution.

The Indore episode where stones were pelted on Doctors raises serious questions about the extent of scientific temperament in our country. But instead of calling out these people for their ignorant and irrational conduct, we are more focused on criticizing the government and defeating the narratives going around on WhatsApp and Facebook.

This is the setback with a typical contemporary Indian liberal. A true realistic and liberal mind would have first censured religion that is deceptive and blinding communities to such an extent that they are attacking medics who are around to help them.

When Raja Ram Mohan Roy mounted against the orthodox Hindu and the Hindu society for the prohibition of Sati in the 17th century, he overhauled the community, along with other social reformers. That is how we got our society reformed and our religion evolved, be it for educating girls, equality among people, the abolition of untouchability, or any other reform that took place in modern Indian history, it all happened because someone made an effort. Someone called out the irrational behavior in his or her communities.

Today times are different. We are not obligated to inevitably rely on intellectuals of a specific religious cult to come forward and synchronize reforms. India has been a self-governing collective and secular republic for more than 70 years. If Hindu – Muslim unison can pull a protest as enormous as Shaheen Bagh why can’t those coming out and defending the Tabhlighi Jamaat criticize them? I admire anyone who calls out bigotry. But, if you can’t tell the people you are fighting for where they went wrong why are you fighting for them in the first place?

If you truly want to support the Muslims in the country, the secularism in our country, you need to acknowledge that along with political alterations you need to promote social transformation as well. If your finger doesn’t stop before sharing a cow urine meme and thumping all the irrationality in Hinduism why can’t you do the same for Islam or any other religion? You are doing a disservice to these people by shielding their unfounded behavior and witlessness.

Why should Muslims be treated otherwise? Are they only timidly a part of your anti-regime chronicle? If you truly care about them and secularism, call them out for spattering in public after testing positive, call them out for pelting boulders on doctors, call them out for hiding and trying to flight the testing. Why do we create this rift of religion suddenly when it comes to amendments and become one when it comes to politics?

I am not preaching or paving way for Islam-o-phobia, it will forever be a prejudice that needs vehement opposition. But if this isn’t plain idiocy in the name of Allah, then what is?

We need to understand that creating a dialogue against a wrong dyed-in-the-wool by an orthodox religious group from a specific religious community doesn’t imply that you’re stereotyping them. Of course, Muslims in India have always been differentiated against and encountered Islamophobia. Nevertheless, this does not mean that you should not express yourself in contradiction to crimes committed by a group of orthodox people. Not speaking up against this gross violation of human safety exposes your insincerity and your lack of equilibrium. More so, it sheds light on the fact why the Indian Liberal will always lack “Liberalness” in its true sense.

When ISIS struck a Gurdwara in Kabul last month, some said they were humiliated by the crimes of this radical organization in the pretext of preaching Islam. There were others who not only tried shielding Islam in the wake of the Islamic state’s actions but also tried their best to institute the difference between ISIS and Islam.

The fact is ISIS is a worldwide extremist outfit that destroys people and rapes women. It has much less to do with Islam than it has to do with supremacy. But Tablighi Jamaat should force us to contemplate our religious practices in daily life. This congregation is perhaps the worst mechanism that these 3,000 Muslims could have ever inflicted on humankind in the name of preaching Islam.

Ultimately, the brokers of Islam have added to this Covid-19 mess with their cess.

The rotten heads of Muslim society

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Lee Kuan Yew, the craftsman of today’s modern Singapore, had only one thought and determination, how to take Singapore to the world’s top. The task was not easy, a country with no natural resources, no place to cultivate, yet the country is one of the top developed countries in the world today. And the main reason is Lee Kuan Yew and his way of working. Those who see fascism in Modi do not know Lee Kuan Yew.

For example, if he thinks that someone is betraying the country or if someone writes something against the country somewhere then that will be his first and last writing. You will not get the opportunity to constantly whine like our left liberals. This gentleman gave a very nice solution to Islamic terrorism. He said that “if Islamic terrorism was to end, the queen bee, not the worker bee, has to be killed first”. In other words, according to him, the preachers of Islam need to be eliminated first, not extremists. Because these are the main heads of this terror. And you can see the same around us. From beloved Osama bin Laden to our great preacher Zakir Naik, everyone is a scholar in Islamic studies and none of them are suicide bombers themselves, but they are the ones who made suicide bombers.

Someone can ask why the general Muslim society would listen to these religious leaders. Why would they give their lives in their words? Look at the Muslim society of our country, it is very easy to understand.

Well, poor Muslims, who work twice a day to fulfill their stomach, have you ever seen the leaders of our so-called secular political parties go to these poor Muslim’s house and break their fast during Ramjaan? I’m sure you haven’t seen any. They can be seen in the vicinity of local Muslim clerics or any prestigious Muslim mob influencer in India. That is exactly why religious leaders like Imam Rehman Barkati of West Bengal or Zafarulah Islam Khan of Delhi have the guts to threaten that an avalanche by the Muslims of the country will come against Hindu bigots. Because they are the ones who run their society. So our leaders also want to keep them in check.

You can notice the difference between Hindu society and Muslim society. Amit Shah does not need to go to the house of any religious leader to attract the Dalit community, he has to go to the house of a very ordinary lower class Dalit. But the so-called secular leaders have to go to the house of a preacher. Because they know that the Dharmguru i.e. the Imam or Maulana runs that society. So he has to be close to that Imam or Maulana not the rest of the society.

Now notice the strange difference here. According to our “intellectuals“, both Dalits and Muslims are exploited. But the life of Dalits is not led by any religious leader. Like any other Hindus, a Dalit may be a devotee of a guru, but he is not building his life style entirely on the basis of this guru’s opinion. He listens as much as it is beneficial to him or as much as it is convenient or possible for him. On the other hand, a poor Muslim is literally following what the imam of his mosque is saying. No matter how difficult it is for him. The poor man is also paying zakat according to the rules, delivering food to the imam of the local mosque on a certain day.

If I give an example of the influence of these religious leaders on the general Muslim society, then the matter will become clearer. Ganikhan Chowdhury, the undisputed leader of the West Bengal Congress (Malda Constituency), the Nawab of Kotwali will be grateful to the local religious leaders who have played an important role in the political rise of him. Although the influence of Wahhabi religious leaders have increased in Malda district now a days, it was once the predominance of the Pirs. There were some small and big pirs like every area in India. Ganikhan was the disciple of one of the pirs who had the highest number of followers. Every year before the polls, these pirs used to tell his fans that Ganikhan or his family should get the vote. Ganikhan’s role as railway minister must have had some role at one time, but the role of these pirs was the key.

After all, they have a large number of fans in Malda and Murshidabad. These Pirs are the main reason behind this Congress leader’s great influence in Malda and West Bengal politics for a long time. That is why despite trying to win Malda in various ways, even Mamata Banerjee has to field a candidate from Ganikhan’s family. She knew she had no other choice. The Wahhabis and the Pirs are trying to influence society in the same way, and no matter how many times our left intellectuals try to portray the Pirs as innocent, good people they are not good people at all. Their difference with the Wahhabis is of nineteen and twenty.

Now tell me, is not this political power coming from their ability to influence the Muslim society by these pirs and Maulanas ? is not their social influence the root of their political influence ? There may be a Owaisi, but the face of Muslim society is a Maulana Saad. People are willing to risk their lives. Because he explained to them that this is the way to be martyred and since a religious leader has said this they have no other truth than this. No matter how much you tell them that the Makkah has been closed due to this epidemic, they will not accept it. Because their maulana does not say that.

Now let’s talk about why the Muslim community in our subcontinent has this blind faith in their religious leaders. The answer lies in the history of Muslim society in the subcontinent. First of all, it is good to say very openly that there is no Muslim of pure Arabic blood in the Indian subcontinent. Everyone has converted from Hinduism or Buddhism to Islam. If someone says he is Mufti or Saeed then you know it is self-imposed. They have no blood ties with Arab.

Hinduism is like a horizon in our life, where we can find suitable and desirable material for us. As a result our life philosophy is also affected. Which makes us believe in pluralism. A believer also shows respect towards an atheist. Because the main driving force here is the philosophy from which this religion is originated. Muslim society, on the other hand, when they uprooted themselves a thousand or five hundred years ago, took refuge in a religion that did not originate in India like Hinduism, Buddhism and Sikhism. Even the preachers who had brought the religion into Indian soil are not Indians. As a result, they had no idea about the water, air, people and lifestyle of India. As a result, the philosophy they preached had nothing to do with Indian soil.

This lack of communication gradually alienated the entire Muslim community from the larger Indian society. The reason why Muslims live in groups today is because of the isolation of this society. Gradually, as they became isolated from society, they confined themselves to a certain boundary. We may wonder why the majority of people in the Muslim community are with these religious leaders. Why did they leave their lives in the hands of their religious leaders? The answer is the same, because they are completely isolated in the society. As a result, even if there is no economic pressure, it is not possible for them to ignore the social pressure and stigma.

Attack on these rotten heads is what today India’s necessity.

Is novel coronavirus, ‘accidental’ child of evolution or born to save Pangolin, slain man?

When we run and gallop from pillar to post to contain the fast spreading viral pandemic with the conscious surrender to the notion that molecular biology and PCR based research alone shall answer, we may soon come back to the drawing board in search of observation based solutions or shall start to read the famous essay – ‘on doing nothing’ written by JB Priestley.  

We need to solve the problem aggressively when the problem reaches pandemic proportion but the solution shall not sustain if we fail to understand the problem from the realm of evolution or its origin.   No effect can come into existence without a cause; it is otherwise called as “Ex nihilo nihil fit”.

Today the Context may not be ripe or appropriate for such questions, but the question is extremely important, relevant and every scientist must ask.

The purpose of the article; some would call it an essay, is only meant to open the inner eye (s) of those who have it and not to meddle with our combat against the virus through prolonged lockdown or giving free pass to the virus. Either way, we are going to get killed; either by Modi’s lockdown or by the virus.

Many animals and plants use repertoire of defence strategies, camouflage and mimicries to either escape from the predator or to attract its prey (colour base, vocal, anatomical and with the help of certain special appendages).

Employing microbes as principal labour force by several animals is also known.

For example, the termite cannot digest cellulose without the help of Trichonympha in its gut. Even the ruminants use variety of microbes to digest cellulose matter. Several microbes using a definite intermediary host to complete its life cycle or to reach its host are also well known and the best example is malarial parasite which uses certain species of mosquitos as its vector.

When mosquito population increases above the normal, all such parasites do use such opportunity to increase their fecundity.

Increased body temperature due to the entry of malarial parasite is a mere consequence and not the intension of the parasite and it is meant to reach back the vector quickly, when the mosquito bites the host so than it can transmit to another host.

Antagonistic, mutualistic and symbiotic relationship between several microbes and either vertebrates or invertebrates are known to us. 

The question is why the novel coronavirus has evolved? If we accept the fact that the coronavirus present in Pangolin is the ancestor or forefather of novel coronavirus then such question gains greater evolutionary significance and biological importance. 

Then we cannot simply conclude the novel coronavirus to be an accidental child of evolution, just skipped, crossed over and become deadly to humans.  Evolution is a perfect engineer and engineering establishment and it is not like any of our modern day engineering colleges, teaches nothing, but produce engineers en mass.  

Man has been hunting and trading pangolin for several decades.  Let us assume strongly that the virus that present in pangolin only has given birth to novel coronavirus. Then the question would be why and for what purpose the virus has evolved, certainly to save the pangolin or in other words, to kill the man, the merciless hunter of pangolin. 

Why we should not fodder such evolutionary possibility? 

The virus may be a simple structured particle pose problem to designate it as neither fully living nor fully non-living. But how long the evolution can patiently watch human atrocities? 

If pangolin ever develops some colour or behavioural or other evolutionary tricks to escape from man, man would still prey the pangolin thanks to his technological brain. 

None of such adaptations or traits is going to protect the pangolin from man. The only way man can be defeated is by sending an invisible trader of death who can spread across the world; wherever man lives, whether he kills and eat pangolin or not. 

The evolution has used virus to make the man totally helpless, let him beg and kneel before pangolin or novel coronavirus for forgiveness, still the punishment is certain. Who knows, the intent to save pangolin might be the possible evolutionary trigger for the emergence of novel coronavirus? 

Novel coronavirus may want to save its ancestor’s host and the only option available for the virus is to attack man indiscriminately, but kill only the vulnerable or those deserves death, shake the entire kingdom of man. 

WHO KNOWS, THE EVOLUTION AND NOVEL CORONAVIRUS MAY HAVE CHOSEN THE AUTHOR TO DECODE THE MESSAGE OF THE EVOLUTION OF NOVEL CORONAVIRUS TO THE WORLD! 

Nothing happens in nature as an accident. 

Our ignorance only helps us to define and conclude all such incidents and anecdotes as mere accidents because man thinks, he alone worth to live in the planet and have the right to live and rest of the animals are his slaves, subservient and subordinates, thanks to his feudalistic ordain. 

Who knows, it may be just the beginning. Most of the prey species in future may employ several such microbes to defend self and destroy the hunter- man. 

The question of why novel coronavirus would have evolved is extremely important may not be from the perspective medical science and policy making but for the biologists and evolutionary scientists such question assumes importance.

If the novel coronavirus has ever evolved to save pangolin and slain man means, can we prevent the wisdom and geniuses of evolution by shutting down India for 40 or more days? 

Evolution appears to have send the novel coronavirus only to caution man and not to destroy him totally otherwise why the novel coronavirus limit its targets only to the most vulnerable group? 

Evolution may soon withdraw the virus because humans are not the ultimate host of the virus, looks like.  We must let the virus to pass through each one of us, the virus may vanish soon because it had already send the message of the evolution to man. 

The man can then proudly claim, ‘herd’ immunity only has saved him or the lockdown of Modi. Save pangolin, the virus will spare you. 

Government should provide simple antipyretic drug along with antibiotics to contain secondary infections if any and some anti-allergic drugs to manage the problem at home than declares the entire area with ‘red colour’; paralyze people so that we can eliminate the virus.

When we test a person positive for coronavirus today then we must link such test positivity with the first reported case of the virus in India which was in January in 2020. 

Since January till today, the person who showed the presence of virus today may not be carrying the virus. The virus before reaching the person who turned positive for virus today, would have traveled through several people and those people also would have shared the virus to many. 

The holy-grail of the entire episode is that till date we have not received any sorrowful health warning or health alarm/ distress from the community. Does than not mean, most of them may not have developed any worry some medical problem due to virus? 

The message is that novel coronavirus is just a little storm in the tea cup to all healthy individuals. Why we lock the virus or go after the virus instead of focusing on treatment to all COVID 19 cases. 

Shift people from fire to save and then put them on frying pan because that is the only option available. Such wisdom is nothing but an extension of ego that I alone have the license to kill people by killing their livelihood but not the virus.   

World needs more evolutionary biologists to explain, theorize and address the issue over the origin of all our problems and not plumbers and fitters who knows only to replace not repair, if all components are available.

Our medical world could not replace life or the inflamed lugs and hence supports the government to go after the virus. 

No one needs to go after the virus because the virus is coming straight to all of us. As long as man doesn’t spare our wildlife and support their dignity and legitimate right to live on earth, evolution will recruit many such pathogens to terminate man.

Keep epidemiology and medical wisdom bystander, bring microbiology and evolutionary wisdom to solve novel coronavirus crisis

Bombs after bombs, WHO has been shelling at the world about novel coronavirus and COVID-19 thanks to the privilege it enjoys over the virus that WHO has cleverly named as novel coronavirus with the prefix ‘novel’. The term ‘novel’ means new, it means, the virus is new to me, new to you and new to everyone.

Therefore every day, every hour and every second our policy makers can release different, contradictory and new statements with brave face that they are continuously learning about the virus and hence updating the world.

The latest bomb is that those people who recovered from either coronavirus positivity or from COVID-19 are equally susceptible like anyone in the community to re-infection.

WHO is quite right that no substantial evidence is available now with WHO to suggest that those who are already infected are not protected from re-infection in future, it means, immunity against the virus is poor and non-protective. 

When we debate about novel coronavirus at global level, we also must look at the problem from the angel of microbiology and evolutionary biology otherwise we will be doing nothing but multiplying our fear and hypothesis to contain the virus alongside of rapid multiplication of novel coronavirus; both may run parallel to each other.

Unfortunately we have so far looked at the problem only from medical and epidemiological perspective and completely or partly negated the realm of microbiology and evolutionary biology from offering its wisdom. At the end, we have only complicated our wisdom than to see the problem in a sensible way as how to solve it.

Look at the marine world?  The diversity of fauna in marine ecosystem is unimaginably high.  The same marine ecosystem is only holding one of the biggest and largest animals on earth called blue whale. 

Has evolution favoured blue whale alone to live in marine ecosystem? Look at Serengeti or Botswana, does lion alone survive as carnivore or many other carnivorous animals do live in large numbers? Why panda live exclusively with bamboo shoot and leaves? Why kola live largely by eating eucalyptus leaves? Can a kangaroo live in Indian forest? Will the same kola live in our eucalyptus forest? 

No microbe can produce such devastating consequence to the entire world as we think, can spread so rapidly. Coronavirus may spread everywhere. Such spread may be happening as an evolutionary consequence where the virus may be searching for an ideal habitat for itself? From microbiological point of view, we must ask how easy is to culture coronavirus in the laboratory. Is it fastidious or fast grower in several types of cell lines?

If the virus has not yet identified and set its habitat, it would continue to search newer habitats. Such a search in medical parlance is called as epidemic or pandemic. Cholera or Malaria spread we must differentiate from the spread of novel coronavirus. Both the microbes are true or primary pathogen and novel coronavirus is not a true pathogen.

Now we must link the above context with the recent statement of WHO that all those who recovered from either coronavirus or COVID 19 are equally susceptible for re-infection. It means, our immune defence either fail to recognise the pathogen or fail to develop immunity against the same virus even for a very short time. It means, the virus may be still searching for an ideal host and that may not be Homo sapiens, who knows? 

Only when a pathogen forms reasonably long and formidable relationship with its host, it can turns to be a PATHOGEN or COMMENSAL FLORA. 

If that were the reality, how we found our over-fear over coronavirus? Certain individuals may be falling down due to own pre-existing medical conditions than due to the virus? 

We also must ask where the multiplication rate of the virus happens more, in the nostril and throat or in the lungs. What is the least viral load is needed to cause infection both in susceptible individuals as well as supposedly resistant individuals – younger ones without any pre-existing medical conditions? 

How long the virus can survive in wet surfaces? What would be the probable viral load we can expect in mucous or salivary discharge? If the half-life load of the virus in wet surfaces more than the inoculum size needed to cause infection in both vulnerable and resistant population means, how the social distancing and lock down alone would prevent the spread of the virus in India. 

It is so brilliant and scientific to assume that the virus has not already reached our community and not spreading? How a virus can survive well over different human races and geographic and climatic conditions? 

Should the above several questions and ‘ifs and buts’ give confidence to us to take a calculated risk to remove lock down and let people to directly take on the virus? 

Was it true, only Dinosaurs alone survived during Pleistocene glacial age? If so how different species of Dinosaurs existed together in the same geography? 

When a virus is aggressively searching its host, it is bound to hop from one individual to another and then may disappear. Should we facilitate the virus to move away or should we lock the virus somewhere in India, allow the virus to stay for a while and spread evenly all over India and finally facilitate the virus to choose Indians to be its likely habitat? 

All our epidemiologists are busy in making several mathematical models to just predict the level of spread of virus? Do we have a precise mathematical model to say how many of the novel coronavirus positive people would develop COVID 19 and would die?

In a country like India, can we prevent the spread of the virus? Should we focus on COVID-19 or be after coronavirus positive cases?

If life and livelihood are separate and that is the outcome the lockdown has proved means, where come the logic of chasing coronavirus positive cases instead of do what best we can to COVID-19. All the coronavirus positive cases are not going to become COVID-19. 

When a bird finds it necessary to save itself from the terrestrial habitat, it grew small, developed wings and become areal. Are we sure, the novel coronavirus won adapt an inseparable relationship with Indians if we imprison the virus from moving from one to another to escape and find its ultimate host?

It looks like, the panic of novel coronavirus to leave human host may the problem that we have exaggerated as ours and otherwise the virus may leave us swiftly. 

When our medical science and epidemiology fail to give us a firm anchoring point to strategize, we must bows to the evolutionary science and must allow the virus and humans to be free so that virus would escape to another planet. 

It is like when a snake that enters our house, we must leave the door open for the snake to escape and not lock down the doors, cause panic and fear to the snake and get bitten by it and die if it is a poisonous snake.

Play the game from evolutionary perspective; we may able to solve the problem of both novel coronavirus as well as the problem of human life and livelihood in India. 

Time has come we must follow Bhagavat Gita of Lord Krishna, that we are left with only our duty and defining how the outcome should, is not ours. 

We should not kill India through lockdown and quarantine. Who knows, even the novel coronavirus may not have any intention to kill humanity. When our wisdom fails to make us wise, we must promote some bizarre ideas, sometime they may solve our problem. Like the proverb “the fool may teach/learn the wise man wit” means, a wise man can learn more from a foolish question than go by the rule book. 

India must assert her interest in Afghanistan

With India currently besieged by Covid-19, few of us can afford to spare thought about geo-political machinations taking place abroad. Yet as the peace process in Afghanistan between the United States and the Taliban reaches a precarious position, with the Taliban having ramped up their attacks against the Afghan government despite the recent spread of coronavirus in the country, it is imperative India takes stock of the situation. Whilst it still might be many months before the US finally exits Afghanistan, especially with the virus complicating prisoner exchange and the negotiations itself now, the South Asian security matrix is going to undertake a paradigm shift once all American military operations come to their inevitable end. India must aim to use this transition to secure its regional security interests. 

The conflict in Afghanistan can at one level be understood as being between the majority Pashtuns mostly concentrated in Southern and Central Afghanistan (and across the Durand Line in Pakistan), who the Taliban claim to represent, fighting against the empowerment of ethnic minorities from northern Afghanistan such as the Tajiks, Hazaras and Uzbeks by successive democratically elected governments. Whilst both the past and present presidents of Afghanistan—Karzai and Ghani—are Pashtun, they have been seen as leaders propped up by the West and being overly-sympathetic with ethnic minorities. Moreover, many state institutions are dominated by ethnic minorities and see a lack of representation from the Pashtuns.

However, the conflict in Afghanistan has also been considered as a continuation of the proxy-war between India and Pakistan. It is no secret that Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) has deep ties with the Taliban and has continued to back extremist groups in Afghanistan, even whilst calling itself an ‘ally’ of the US in its War on Terror. That the Pakistani military establishment has supported the Taliban and allied extremist groups is a known fact. A recent example of this was the attack on a Gurudwara in Kabul on March 25th. Whilst at prima facie it was thought to be an attack carried out solely by the Islamic State, further investigations carried out by Afghan authorities found direct links between the attackers and the ISI. A report produced by the European Foundation for South Asian Studies (EFSAS) further substantiated these links. India on its part has been a staunch supporter of the democratic Afghan state. This link has existed since pre- 9/11, when India supplied military equipment and humanitarian support to the Northern Alliance in its effort to topple the brutal Taliban regime. The Northern Alliance later went on to form the Afghan government, and many of its leaders, such as General Dostum, are now key members of the present government. William Darlyample’s Brookings Essay ‘A Deadly Triangle’ published in 2013 presents and explains this tacit conflict cogently.

With America having now committed to leaving, the weakest entity in this entire sum seems to be the Afghan government. With the steady decrease in Western military support, the Taliban have made steady gains and now control over a third of the country. The Afghan National Army has been unable to establish itself as an effective fighting force. Moreover, the recent election results have been heavily disputed and both leading candidates, incumbent Ashraf Ghani and his opponent Abdullah Abdullah, have sworn themselves in as president in March of this year. A divided civilian leadership, a weak military establishment, and with American support nearing its expiry date, the Afghan government now finds itself in a bleak spot.

This situation has been further exacerbated by the US negotiating for a peace deal directly with the Taliban without the Afghan government. Regardless of how these negotiations ultimately pan out, any form of eventual peace will need the integration of the Taliban into the governing state— a realisation that made the US finally reach the negotiation table. As it stands presently, the Taliban has been able to keep its sphere of influence strong enough to make America realise that trying to govern Afghanistan as a whole, in a state of peace and stability, would be impossible without their corporation. The American war aim of completely eradicating the Taliban and making the majority ethnic group, the Pashtuns, co-opt into a democratic system dominated by minority ethnic groups was near impossible. Ghani and Abdullah both need to realise this, if they have not already done so. 

So where does India find itself at this threshold of a new phase in Afghanistan? The resurgence of the Taliban has obviously worried New Delhi. A key interest of India, if not its main, is to ensure that the Afghan state does not eventually consist of elements that would support extremist groups functioning in Kashmir. In the past, the Taliban has been known to have warm relations with Lakshar-e-Taiba and Jaish-e-MohammedExtremist networks based in Kashmir, with the backing of the ISI, have been known previously to have auxiliary bases functioning freely across Afghanistan and Pakistan. However, the Taliban now seems to be willing to leave behind its extremist inclinations if allowed to integrate into the Afghan state. They have repeatedly claimed that they have now cut former ties and will not allow terror groups to function in Afghanistan if allowed to form government.

Recently, during an online conference hosted by the Delhi based think-tank Global Counter-terrorism Council, Taliban spokesperson Mohammad Shaheen stated that “We will never want any foreign organisation using Afghan soil to target another country. We will bring a law to stop any such activity”. More pertinently, Shaheen also claimed that the Taliban would be more than willing to engage with neighbouring countries “on the basis of mutual respect and mutual interests”. 

While the solidity of these sentiments will only be seen in the time to come, India must now aim to establish some sort of ties with the Taliban. Till now, it has been openly hostile to the negotiations undertaken by the US and has repeatedly tried to lobby for their termination. Continuing such aggressive posturing against the Taliban is folly if India wants to have substantial influence in a post-America Afghanistan. At a time when the Taliban themselves are re-evaluating their relations with their Pakistani allies, and are realising the spectre of extremism and lawlessness that ISI activity brings, India must aim to provide them with an alternate regional option. Some analysts, such as veteran journalist and author Ahmed Rashid, have even gone on to claim that the Taliban would prefer closer relations with India now. In contrast to Pakistan, which has backed terror groups that have only brought destruction and devastation upon the country, India has immense soft power in Afghanistan.

Holding back from military intervention, while continuing to support Afghanistan economically with Indian aid totalling more than 3 billion dollars now, has been an effective geo-political move. Further strengthening this commitment, the Indian government in mid-April sent medical and food supplies to aid the Afghan government in tackling Covid-19. If relations with the Taliban are not established in this new chapter of Afghanistan, which will most likely see them play a pivotal role, India will risk squandering its influence. 

Simultaneously though, India must also continue its engagement with the democratic regime and the northern ethnic minorities. It is equally important to remember that a situation resembling the Afghan civil war of the late nineties, between the Taliban and the erstwhile Northern Alliance, is still very much a possibility. In a situation of an all-out military campaign, where the Taliban might have an inclination to fall back on Pakistan for assistance, India must be ready to engage this situation with equivalent assistance in the form of economic and humanitarian aid to the entities that will safeguard its interests. Some hawkish voices have even called out for Indian boots on ground in an effort to fill the void that will be left by the US. Yet if history has taught us anything, after the British, Soviet and now American misadventure to stabilise Afghanistan, it would be a terrible mistake to do so. It is important to remember that much of the goodwill harboured by the Afghans towards India has been due to our ability to help them without intervening militarily, an action which will be perceived as hostile by many. No nation appreciates the idea of a foreign army on its soil— especially not Afghanistan

In a situation which is constantly developing and has the possibility of multifarious outcomes, India must constantly try to pre-empt the status quo and build ties that will help assert its geo-political interests. A stable and peaceful regime in Afghanistan, which censures terror activity, is vital to India’s security interests. Deeming Afghanistan to be irrelevant, as some have, will only result in the weakening of India’s position in South Asia.

Lockdown extended in India: Should it be extended or not? Is it a binary Yes/No question?

Lockdown is Extended In India For 2 Weeks. Now may are asking binary questions, should lockdown be extended or not? Yes or no? Actually the answer is not that binary or black and white.

The primary focus of the govt is to contain the corona outbreak in Red Zone District and especially the Containment Zones. So yes lockdown is required for that.

The Govt is also required to restart the economy, so relaxations should be provided. As cleared by MHA guidelines, considerable relaxation are provided in orange and green zones. Even in green zones other than mass gatherings and inter-state travel almost every daily activity is allowed while following physical distancing and SOP (Standard Operating Procedure).

Govt also knows the more the lockdown, the more pressure it will put on the economy. But as we know human life is invaluable and only if we live we can utilize all the resources.

Govt has to restart the economic activities and have to get out of lockdown in phased manner. When we are dealing with a country as wide as India and with 130Cr+ population, Govt can’t come and abruptly in a single shot say Lockdown is over, do whatever you want. Govt needs to contain the situation and in phases give more and more relaxation in corona free area.

And I believe that’s what the Govt is rightly doing it, containing the situation by extending lockdown and moving out of lockdown in phased manner by giving considerable relaxation in less risk/no risk zones.

Lastly I would say a person wearing mask is not necessarily infected but he may be a responsible and an aware citizen protecting himself/herself and society. Wearing mask is now a new normal.

So I appeal to wear mask, practice respiratory and hand yygiene, follow govt instructions and health advisories, positively contribute in whichever way you can and stay home and stay safe. If permitted; do your daily activities with utmost precautions.

Stay positive, we are all in together, we will fight and we will win. Stay safe. Cheers! Jai Hind

(@utkarshv_bjp on twitter /@utkarshvashisthabjp on instagram)

#StayHome #StaySafe #PhysicalDistancing #WashHands #SafeHands #WearMask #BePositive #IndiaFightsCorona

Irrfan a journey

Irrfan’s passing away touched lakhs of people in India, because Irrfan connected his audience on an individual level. Not only he was a terrific actor he was also a wonderful person in real life. Irrfan played many memorable roles be it in ‘Life in a Metro’, ‘Piku’ or in ‘Paan Singh Tomar’

Irrfan played the character of a common man effortless because at his heart he himself was one. All in his roles he added these bits of common man’s feelings be it insecurities, helplessness or joy and those roles became memorable for life. In one of his interviews he mentioned that he loved to travel and interact with people and observe them. He had the biggest weapon that any human can have and that was power of sharp observation.

Let’s take the example of his role of Monty in Anurag Basu’s ‘Life in a Metro”. This role is special because he played a joyful character who is not trying too hard in his life and content.

His dialogue delivery was effortless, for example there is a scene in his 2005 movie rog where he is explaining the doctor that he tried to kill himself but he couldn’t do it because he saw a rainbow from his window and changed his mind! In my opinion this scene is Irrfan’s top performance.

In his recent interview with Masand, Irrfan explained that, to become an actor one need to explore, observe and reflect their surrounding and society. Well this suggestion can also be used to become a mindful person. Osho once said everyone in this world is acting in their life.

I want to end this with one of dialogue from Irrfan’s movie Namesake. “Remember that you and I made the journey, and went together to a place. Where there was nowhere left to go” Farewell Irrfan!

Making a case for the safety of health professionals in India

In India, for long, people involved in one of the noblest professions have been subjected to harsh crimes for doing what they do- putting their days and nights to save lives. The recent pandemic has only drawn our focus not only towards one of the very important but also one of the most ignored issues i.e safety of our health professionals. The visuals of doctors being thrashed for doing their duty are distressing, but it is something that they have been facing since forever. The pandemic has only highlighted it for the people to see what they go through every day.

The cause of the problem and the solution

Working in healthcare is in itself a very stressful job. These professionals sacrifice their work-life balance to look after their patients who trust them with their well-being. They see things everyday that a common man wishes to never see in the lifetime. The patient load, long working hours and lack of client cooperation only make things worse. However, some blame should also be put on successive governments for not putting enough efforts in the form of expenditure to improve the infrastructure that enables provision of better facilities and even distribution of patient load. This problem stems from the level of primary healthcare and rises up to tertiary healthcare thereby leaving a negative intermingling effect. Much of the blame for this has to go to abysmal amount of budgetary expenditure that goes towards health sector.

The health sector just cannot and should not function on 1.28% of GDP and this has been appropriately noted by the government which aims at increasing this expenditure to 2.5% of GDP by the year 2025. By doing this, with a good number of new government healthcare institutions set up and old ones revamped, the government can ensure that patients in India can get the required amount of attention and care at hospitals. Alongside this, the government should also look at attracting big foreign investment in this sector. A good mix of public and private participation in this sector can do wonders for both the doctors and patients. As a result, with reduced burden, the doctors could work in a less stressed environment and the patient frustration can also be brought to a minimum.

Secondly, the patients’ mindset towards healthcare professionals, the resulting behaviour and attitude is another thing that needs a major change. In India, a country where dowry is an accepted custom among many sections, spending on healthcare is regarded as a rip-off. Yes, there might be a few cases in the country where doctors have not performed their duty ethically which may have ended up in grave outcomes but there isn’t a profession in this world which is corruption-free. Healthcare professionals everywhere in India have to bear the wrath for the wrongdoings of few of them involved in corruption. People need to understand that the cost of the treatment involves the cost of research put in the development of the drugs and equipment along with the cost of the expertise of the doctor using these techniques to treat the patient.

The healthcare system of a country would crumble if everyone starts getting treatments for free. How can a system function and sustain without money? This is where the government funded subsidized health insurance schemes need to step in. The culture of spending on health insurance schemes is still very weak in this country as a report in 2018 mentioned the uninsured status of more than one hundred million Indian households. The government has to bring about a change through awareness programmes and subsidized schemes for the uninsured poor. Reducing the financial burden of the treatment, though indirectly, can help hugely in minimizing the events of violence against doctors.

The way forward

In June 2019, after an incident of violence against junior doctors at NRSMCH Kolkata, which resulted in a huge strike by healthcare professionals, the Health ministry in September 2019 proposed the Health Services Personnel and Clinical Establishments (Prohibition of Violence and Damage of Property) Bill which aimed at punishing people who assault on-duty doctors and provided for a jail term of up to 10 years for such offences. The bill, which even received a go-ahead from the law ministry, was put on the back burner by the Ministry of Home Affairs as they stated that there was no need for a separate legislation to protect the members of a particular profession. However, the pandemic might be a blessing in disguise for the case of protection of healthcare workers as the recent episodes of violence against them have forced the government to bring an ordinance that provides for a jail term up to 7 years and fine up to Rs 7 Lakhs for perpetrators. This can be a good first step in the right direction but the need for a separate law still exists as violence against these professionals is not limited to this pandemic only.

Health workers should have a violence-free environment to work as its absence can be detrimental to patients’ interests. The violence can make hospital administration hesitant in admitting critical cases as the possibility of such occurrences as a consequence of failure to save life in such cases is high. This kills whatever small chances of survival exist for the patient. To curb such instances of violence, the enlightened citizens can also play their part by stepping in to thwart escalation by intervening at the right time. The pandemic might do its bit in raising the general level of respect for healthcare workers among the citizenry but in absence of a strongly implemented central law for protection of doctors, ensuring their safety is not possible.

The Wire: An example of tarnished reporting

We all know that media whether social or reporting is the fourth pillar of our constitution. Media is the source and responsible platform to awaken society. What if the cracks of fake, propaganda, and money make this pillar sick. Media plays an important role in risen from dust mites to mountains issues. But for a very long time, it has been seen that reporting or at social media is used to polarise the educated and uneducated people of society, spread hatred and to fulfill the agenda of foreign policy to break our country. The Wire which is well – known for its hyper-toxic secularism and neutrality even the neutrality be shy in front of THE WIRE.

Spreading extraordinary veracious news about the nation, society, and various communities, especially for a peaceful community, nationally and internationally leads to thinking who is behind this game. When we go deep into this we came up with the well-known name of an educated society Sidharth Vardarajan. A man who gives his job in the various reputed journals like The Hindu, The Times of India. Because of the controversy of his Outlook article on Godhra, he resigns and he sets up his own media platform named The Wire. Now the question comes in, is he Indian? No he is not! He is American and we can see the ideology about the nation, government, and communities through their articles and news published nationally and internationally, foreigners controlling Indian media.

In his recent article in The New York Times about Covid-19 He wrote “For decades, India embraced many of the ideals that are the hallmarks of liberal democracy. But since the election of Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his Hindu fundamentalist Bharatiya Janata Party in 2014, we have experienced a breathtaking erosion in the rule of law and civil and political rights and the unleashing of a wave of intolerance against religious minorities.

Sadly, much of the Indian media has been complicit in the B.J.P.’s assault on democratic and secular values, either by actively promoting the narrative of Mr. Modi and his party or by censoring itself to avoid being punished”.

You can see his Ideology, how easily he blames the current government for everything. He forgets the terrorist attacks before 2014. He forgets the riots which had been a part of daily life, he forgets the genocide of Hindus of Kashmir. He forgets everything and all the horrendous and hazardous things happen after 2014. In a recent incident of 3rd May, when our brave Indian Army Colonel and Major martyred among five brave security personnel in Handwara encounter what he and his media house tweet gives an utter shock. The Wire wrote “An army colonel and a major were among five personnel killed in an encounter in north Kashmir that also saw the death of two alleged terrorists. We can see the endearment for the Indian army and hate for terrorists. The love for his nation is remarkable. When the current government straightforwardly solves this nation issue he again shows his affection for India and government. Internationally the issue of Kashmir makes foreigners mock India and easy to blame that internal disputes of India are so big that it can’t focus on development, economy, and infrastructural issues. When government take initiative and solved this issue he wrote”.

“Constitution Torn to Shreds as RSS Indulges Article 370 Fantasy in Kashmir”“Not only has Amit Shah stripped Article 370 of its essence, but he has also abolished the entire state as well, replacing it with two ‘Bantustans’ in which key decisions on issues like law and order and land will be taken from New Delhi.” His love of our motherland is so acceptable that it makes your blood boil. As he is so big-hearted and kind that he loves our peaceful neighbor country Pakistan. In the favor of our neighbor country’s Pakistan views, he released a video that has been removed for its anti-national content He shows a map where he shows Srinagar as India Occupied Kashmir and POK as Azad Kashmir.

His affection for our nation doesn’t end here. The wire uses the 2015 survey map to prove that after the removal of Article 370 Kashmir encounters mental health problems.Their love for the Hindu community and BJP leaders is so applauded that he spread fake news on 31st March that “On the day the Tablighi Jamaat event was held, Yogi Adityanath insisted that a large fair planned for Ayodhya on the occasion of Ram Navami from March 25 to April 2 would proceed as usual while Acharya Paramhans said that Lord Ram would protect devotees from the coronavirus.” After his concern and love to the Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister and lord Ram, an FIR has been lodged for giving objectionable comment on CM Yogi.

Before 2014 when the peace is dropped from leaves the horrible incident took place where 52 Hindu Pilgrimages were burnt in a train and after Godhra, the massacre riots took place where Muslims being targeted. How can be such a loyal and honest journalists stop to write this truth and what truth he wrote: “Far from being a spontaneous mass reaction to the attack on the Sabarmati Express at Godhra the day before in which 58 Hindu passengers died, the killings across most of Gujarat seemed scripted.” On the next he wrote “If Godhra hadn’t happened, would it have been necessary to invent it? I don’t know, but the Godhra incident itself is so shrouded in mystery that it is almost as if the official narrative which emerged within minutes and hours of the train being consumed by fire is an invented one, conveniently conjured up to provide the “rationale” for the pogrom which had simultaneously been ordained.”

We can see the height of toxic secularism in his article and love for government. He thought that this heartbreaking incident was scripted by BJP. This so-called Honest, Highly educated, and loyal Journalist shows their toxic- thoughts and show how knowledge can be used to misguide the society. Now, the question arises can we expect this foreigner citizen that he is serious about the situation of India and Is the law allowed him to open his own media platform when he is not a resident of India. In 2011, the bill was prepared that if anyone who practices Journalism or wants to open his own media house should be a permanent resident of India. That bill is still in the file. Today, when news will be published as per journalists’ thoughts rather being published the incident as it is. Don’t you think it is the need of time because of Journalists or co-founder like Siddharth Varadarajan who fulfill or sell their agenda of fake, propaganda, and toxic-secularism easily without any hindrance. We need this pending bill because only a true Indian can understand the situation of India, not a foreigner.

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