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Chinese dream and the post-Covid world order

By: Mihir Bholey

The actual post-mortem of Covid-19 pandemic leading to the global disaster will be possible once it has been contained. As of now the whole world is struggling for survival amidst uncertainty and panic. The overriding distrust for China particularly in the west and its own characteristic reticence in maintaining transparency has given birth to conspiracy theories as well which it’s finding hard to counter. By now the world knows that the virus was first detected in Wuhan in 2019 but China did not disclose it for months. The information was tightly controlled, assistance form CDC was refused and even WHO had been given limited access. Shockwaves and anger spread when Dr. Li Wenliang, the young whistle-blower died of Covid-19. Chinese government had accused him for spreading rumour and was silenced. Amidst all this, the death toll kept rising behind the iron curtain. Even today nobody knows the actual figures of infected people, casualty and how China managed to control it. 

However, the good news is by mid-March 2020 China reported negative about fresh cases of domestic transmission in Wuhan. If visuals on Chinese TV channels are to be believed, Wuhan seems to be up and running while the US, Italy, Spain, France, UK and many other developed nations look awfully helpless, tactically confused and emotionally traumatized. Japan has announced national emergency. While the world is struggling China is sending all well signal and has accelerated its diplomatic outreach to woo affected nations in Europe, Asia and Africa with its generous offer of aid to fight the pandemic.

But many western analysts are taking China’s overture with a pinch of salt. Elisabeth Braw of the Royal United Services Institute questions the motive of China (and Russia too) and doesn’t see any altruism in it. She describes both Russia and China as “Bad Samaritans” using their ostensible assistance for narrow geopolitical gain. Kurt Campbell, former US Assistant Secretary of State and Rush Doshi, Director of Brookings Institution’s China Strategy Initiative believe Beijing is trying to turn its early success in controlling Covid-19 into a larger narrative for the world and thereby trying to cover up its initial mismanagement. China has cleverly leveraged this adversity to its economic and diplomatic advantage. It’s making new friends, creating goodwill among European nations by presenting itself as a good Samaritan and eventually trying to reinforce its own global stature.

Consequently, helpless Italy instead of looking up to EU finds its saviour in China. Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic, becomes so overwhelmed with Chinese offer of help that he says: “Serbia mustn’t forget this: China will be our friends for many centuries and millennia to come.” He even calls European solidarity a ‘fairy tale.’ In a telephonic conversation President Xi Jinping assures Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez of all possible help to fight the pandemic and the same day medical aid supplied by China’s Alibaba Group Holding arrives at Spain’s Zaragoza Airport. What more traumatized nations would look for? Chinese embassy loses no time in communicating on Twitter their benevolent overtures. 

Estonia, another member of the EU has also been overwhelmed by China with its largess to fight Covid-19. In the game of winning hearts and minds China seems to be ahead of all – EU, US, Russia, G-7 and G-20 at least for now. It’s also trying to make Europe and the world believe that looking at China as a threat is a cold war mindset and has no place in the new world order. Has China’s “affirmative nationalism” rooted in President Xi Jinping concept of the “Chinese Dream” become the new reality of global geopolitics? Will this pandemic give China the opportunity to dislodge the US from its position of global pre-eminence? 

Compared to China’s bilateral diplomatic overdrive, India’s response to the crisis has been measured and multilateral. It first woke up SAARC from its hibernation and called upon the member states to chalk out the strategy together to fight the pandemic in the region. To combat it at the global scale Prime Minister Modi also nudged the Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to call an extraordinary virtual meeting of G-20 nations. The idea was to evolve “a coordinated response” to tackle the pandemic and its “human and economic implications“. It resulted in World Bank Group’s willingness to deploy US$160 billion to help member countries respond to the pandemic over the next 15 months. This help according to the World Bank will facilitate countries like India, Afghanistan, Tajikistan, Haiti and Mongolia among other in bringing more medical staff onboard and train them deliver emergency care diligently. India’s  method was far more democratic, transparent and humane as compared to China’s sledgehammer approach. 

Nevertheless, the optics of China’s geopolitics has given a new spin to the things. There’s also a strong feeling as if China is trying to show off its capability of managing such global crises better than the US and other developed nations. It’s taking the opportunity to demonstrate that it has better strategy, economic prowess and scientific wherewithal. In the west Italy, UK, US  all faltered in putting up timely response and fell one by one. With over 307,318 confirmed cases and growing, over 8,358 deaths, US has surpassed China. As compared to China, US, the superpower of the world seems awfully unprepared and vulnerable in the face of the crisis. Trump’s decision to go alone has even exposed America’s inability to create global partnership for handling crisis of an international scale. Situation is so precarious that US had to approach Russia for ventilators. 

Is China going to replace the US from its position of global pre-eminence and emerge as the new superpower? Will it create a new world order under its leadership? While these questions may not  be entirely baseless to contemplate, but it’s be too early to predict anything. At the moment world is more concerned with combating this pandemic, consequent global poverty and economic slowdown. At  its worst it will leave 35 million people in poverty including 25 million in China alone. World Bank’s baseline forecast for the regional growth of East Asia predicts a 2.1 percent slowdown in the current year compared to estimated growth of 5.8 percent in 2019. 

Nevertheless, Covid-19 pandemic has surely woken up the world about its lopsided economic integration and over-dependence on China besides the flip side of economic globalization. Japan has already announced $2.2 billion package to relocate its corporation out of China. They can either set up at home or spread all over southeast Asia. Experience tells us existing global orders do not change overnight. Initially they change slowly and then change all of a sudden. It will be interesting to see how the global geopolitics realigns itself to face China’s assertive nationalism and its global ambitions. Post-Covid geopolitical realignment will decide whether China will coexist as a benign neighbourhood or the new superpower capable of defining the rules of engagement on its own terms. 

(Author is a Senior Faculty of Science and Liberal Arts at National Institute of Design)

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मैं दूरदर्शन और नास्टैल्जिया

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कोरोना वैसे तो भयावह बीमारी है लेकिन भारत जैसे सपेरों के देश (अरे वही उन चन्द चू*यों की नज़रों में जो आज बिलबिला रहें है) में यह नहीं फ़ैल पाया। सरकार ने व्यापक प्रयास किये तो मांग उठी कि भैया घर बैठ के का करिहिं तो हमारे जैसे नाइनटीज और इस सदी के प्रारंभ वाले लौंडे लफाड़ों ने बोला कि बैठे है तो रामायण और महाभारत ही दिखा दो। अंधे को क्या चाहिए दो आंखे, वैसे ही सरकार- उसको क्या दिक्कत हो सकती थी इस बेहूदी सी मांग (खबीश पत्रकार के मुताबिक, वही जो गांजा मारकर भारत में मार्क्स की बात करते हैं सुना है मैग्सेसे भी ले आये हैं) से तुरंत मान ली गयी।

रामायण के शुरू और ख़त्म होने के बीच में महाभारत भी है। समय वही इतवार के 12 बजे शक्तिमान वाला और शाम 7 बजे डीडी उत्तर प्रदेश के उर्दू समाचार का। जब गाँव में था तो साईकिल के रिम का एंटीना हुआ करता था। अक्सर ठीक टाइम पर ही उसके सिग्नल चले जाया करते थे या फिर भैया के किसी रोमांटिक पिक्चर (मि. इंडिया) या घोर राष्ट्रवादी ‘इंडियन’ जैसी फिल्मों के कारण बैटरी चली जाया करती थी।  मुझे याद है कि कई बार बैटरी डिस्चार्ज होने के कारण पडोसी के यहाँ से भी डिस्चार्ज बैटरी उठाकर लाते थे और दोनों बैटरी मिलाकर ब्लैक एंड वाइट टीवी, वो भी तेरह इंची के आधे परदे पर बड़े प्यार से देखा करते थे। कई बार होता था कि सुबह पेट दर्द (जो अभी FIR वाली चाची को है) इसलिए होता था कि शनिवार का 11 बजे का जूनियर जी देखने को मिल जाये।  

ये तो रही पुरानी बातें नई चीजें जो अभी सीखने को मिल रही है उसमें भीष्म एक बड़ा नाम है। जिन्हें हमने मात्र एक साइड कैरेक्टर समझ के छोड़ दिया था अब उनका त्याग समझ आ रहा है। उनकी प्रतिज्ञा अभी समझ आती है कि भीष्म क्यूँ थी? हम यशोदा की कितनी बात करते हैं लेकिन नन्द की नहीं। नन्द जी का अपनी बेटी को दे देना आज के समय में संभव नहीं दिखता अभी अगर कुछ दिखता है तो बेटे की चाहत में पागल घूमते लोग। वही रामायण में आज के मनुवाद (उन्ही के मुताबिक जो बोलते ज्यादा दिखते कम है) को देखें तो क्षत्रिय (राम) केवट के पैर छु रहा था। कितना बड़ा अपराध किया न उस क्षत्रिय ने? भगवान राम दशरथ को मर जाने देते तो उनका क्या बिगड़ता? उनको तो गद्दी मिलना तय था, पिता का वचन उनका तो नहीं था!

इन दोनों धारावाहिकों में सबसे अच्छी बात इनके महिला पात्रों की है। महाभारत में सत्यवती वह लड़की जिसने अपने कुल के लिए सभी का ध्यान रखा या यह भी कह सकते हैं कि महिला होने के बाद भी वह कुरु वंश की शासक थी, गांधारी जिसने खुद वर को चुना था। कुंती जिसने दूसरी लड़की को स्वीकार करने के साथ ही बहन माना। सुभद्रा का अर्जुन के साथ प्रेम, हिडिम्बा का भीम के साथ गान्धर्व विवाह।  

रामायण में कैकई का त्याग, सीता का वन जाने का निर्णय- लिब्रान्डूओं और हाथ में *** पकड के नाचने वाली रेडिकल फेमिनिस्टों ये निर्णय उनका स्वयं का था, मंदोदरी का धर्म के लिए रावण को उपदेश, सुलोचना का पति धर्म….!! यह सब सीखने की बातें है जो कहीं दिखाई नहीं देती। समाज की सबसे छोटी परन्तु संगठित इकाई परिवार ख़त्म हो चुकी है। इस ओर ध्यान नहीं दिया गया तो हम जिस विश्वगुरु राष्ट्र की कल्पना करते है वह ख़त्म हो जाएगी।    

The anatomy of Hinduphobic narrative in India: The head

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The Hinduphobic narrative has a body of people and institutions working in sync to defame and weaken Hinduism, destroy the Indian nation and colonise the Indian people. It has an anatomy with different organs undertaking different aspects of the job. Due to apathy and antipathy of the regimes in past 70 years, this Hinduphobic narrative has become the dominant narrative not only in India but also in foreign universities. It has gained so much influence that even the Hindus educated in this system have fallen for it and have been reduced to self hating, impotent, apologetic wretches.

The head of the Hinduphobia is composed of our ’eminent’ Historians, ‘liberal’ journalists and ‘secular’ intellectuals. They have written pamphlets, articles and books through which they have skillfully, but without any tangible basis, propagated a falsified and partisan history of India. Their Hinduphobia can be seen in these few examples{though it is not limited to these} :-

  • They always mention Hinduism by the name of Brahminism for two reasons. First, it is easy to target a community with mere 3% of population. Secondly, it serves the purpose of painting them and by extension Hinduism as evil. In most history books, you will see that Brahmins are painted as leeches on the society who are not useful for economic production but feed off hardworking people. This totally ignores the fact that most Brahmins were and remain in poverty and are engaged in cultivation.
  • There are always kinder words for Buddhism and Jainism. There is no real sympathy for Buddhism. Actually it is glee at loss of influence of Hinduism. It can be seen in the excess glorification of Emperor Ashoka Maurya. Comparatively, his own grandfather and Chanakya are not given much importance. The Gupta age with its all round achievements, which actually survive to this day, is downplayed. In fact, historians of the left have declared that Gupta age was not the golden age. All this because Hinduism became dominant religion of India again in that period.
  • A favorite pastime of these eminent intellectuals is to throw the “Aryans Ate Beef” jibe at Hindus. This has been used since 19th century. Leftist historians like D N Jha, Romila Thapar etc. and other intellectuals like T M Krishna, the musician, have used to time and again to condemn Go-rakshaks and farmers trying to protect their cattle. Mistaken as this interpretation is this is supposed to achieve two things. One, it is supposed to make us ignore our economic and religious interests/traditions. Secondly, they are telling us that we Hindus should have no reservations in eating beef as supposedly our ancestors did that. This argument is as stupid as it is perverse. In actual recorded history, those who killed cow under Hindu kings were awarded capital punishment.
  • A much debated and now debunked theory is Aryan Invasion Theory{AIT}. It was supposed to reconcile us to Muslim and Christian rule by falsely saying that even the Vedic Hindus had come to India from outside and subjugated the local people. It was also used to create a gap between Tamils and rest of Indians{fortunately the Dravidian propaganda did not catch up in whole of south India}, Aryans {which is not a race} were painted as northern invaders oppressing Dravidians. Now that DNA evidence has proved it false, they still propagate this false theory to mislead the Scheduled Castes and Tribals and break them away from Hindu society.
  • Muslim atrocities in the medieval period and during Partition have been purged from official history books. We read a sanitized version saying there was a Ganga-Jamuni tehzeeb{both are sacred rivers of Hindus}, development of bastard language Urdu, architectural marvels etc. which prove that Muslims were beneficial to India. Ask them why there is not a single temple building older than 300 years in plains of India and all their arguments fail. Praising that atrocity filled period{confessed by Muslim historians themselves} is akin to praising the slavers of South USA of 19th century saying they had a rather charming culture.

Although there can be scores of other examples about their perfidy, for the purpose of this small article, these examples suffice. The head of Hinduphobia plays every trick in the book to intellectually and culturally subjugate, shame and make Hindus hate their own culture. It is true that Hindus have had their own weaknesses{specially the unforgivable caste system}, but we have accepted and worked on it. Hinduism is adaptable and once we realize the threat we will adapt to survive again. But it is important to know their tricks and caution the younger generation about it.

In the next article we will see about how Hinduphobia translates into action.

Confessions of a young liberal

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My liberal friends, some of them at any rate, might dub me a ‘right-winger’ after reading the title itself. What has a liberal got to confess, they will ask tartly. Aren’t the words ‘liberal’ and ‘confession’ an oxymoron, you moron? The heart of a liberal, after all, has no dark secrets or ulterior motives, nor any irrational knot or scheming plot. It’s an open book, in essence the same as it is in appearance. The title then is a heresy, that’s what it is, they would chorus.

But doesn’t matter. I am in a position where self-righteous slanders of some won’t affect me. I will continue to enjoy the gratuitous perks and privileges accorded to many liberals. My parents, both of whom are prominent liberals, as it’s well known, will make sure of that. Apparently, they are a votary of the adage that ‘blood matters.’ Come hell or high water, blood is thicker than water, they say. Without worrying about any future libels and name-calling, therefore, I will proceed.

But before I confess, I want to give some fodder to those from my liberal community who due to their habit of tolerance, have not yet dismissed me as a ‘closet bhakt.’ To you then, most good personages, I want to assure that I am a liberal. Read then that which follows, which I have written to gain your nod; hoping after-wards to elicit your pity rather than hatred, when you read my confession.

I can enumerate many of my views which have received recognition of being liberal. It is true that sometimes, in fact often times, my parents have ensured through their connections that I am heard. But those who have heard me, especially from our own community, have not been disappointed. That is to say, I am well versed in liberal diction and mannerisms.

To just give you some taste, I believe that today, politics encompasses life, is above any art, any endeavor, and that dissent is the most necessary virtue of any conscientious citizen. As someone has said, who I think is dead, that one who doesn’t disagree is already dead. Therefore, I disagree. And hence, I am a conscientious citizen. Praises be to me.

I have many other liberal traits. But the one fact which will clinch the deal is that I am considered liberal by those who are the face of liberalism in our not-so-great and recent nation. Some of the oft-heard liberals have patted my back, and wished me success, but only through hard work and not undeserved as theirs is (we are capable of self-deprecatory wit too).

And I am called liberal not for nothing. I am, on the one hand, against usurpation of anyone’s inheritance. That’s why I champion Rahul Gandhi’s claim to the throne. On the second hand, I support my liberal friends’ freedom to say anything on twitter, even that be flapdoodle, and not be called out for it. I argue for it by preaching compassion for our fellow beings, and expose the right-wingers for their lack of it, rather than a lack of logic in my friends.

To further cement my liberal image, let me take you to my ancestry.

Begot and brought up by my liberal parents in an environment which reeked of all-out appreciation for fine wine, Nehru and Islam, I could but only become a liberal. I was precocious in realizing that though I was a Hindu by birth, I would have to be ashamed of it by thought; that ‘unity in diversity’ might only be a meaningless bromide but could be quoted to silence the opposition; that the phrase ‘the only idea of India is that there is no one idea of India’ is intolerant in essence, however could be used for doublespeak; that removed of all the adjuncts, of the unnecessities and superfluities, Muslims hold the key to the essence of our nation. If they disappear, so will the key.

I understood all of it. I learnt also to quote from many books without reading them. And to appreciate thinkers whose thoughts I myself had not given any thought to. To oppose the opposing views with indignation if I could not do so with reason.

I learnt not to be stagnant, as Hindu religion is, but to change myself as Islam does. I became capable to contradict myself without undergoing through cognitive dissonance. And in my self-defense I made Walt Whitman my witness, saying ‘I contain multitudes.’

So that though I had memorized that elections were really good for our nation, and how we had proven wrong those from the west who thought democracy was too good for us – even then, seeing the results of some recent elections, I couldn’t help but commiserate with those refuted skeptics from the west. That if people are that stupid to vote in the way that the results show they do, then it’s possible that democracy really is too good for us.

But of late, we are subjected to lot of mockery. To give an example, when any Hindu(s) commits wrong, and we say that had it been someone Muslim, the whole Hindutva brigade would have raised hell, we are called names like ‘Hindu hater,’ ‘Congress stooge’ and what have you. And when some Muslim(s) commits wrong, and we say that it should not be made a religious issue, we are again called out for our apparent double standards.

Like what double standards exactly? Are we going to hound Muslims out of this country, which is as much theirs as it is ours? Can not they, mere 300 million, have little fun at our expense? Are we Hindus not that big-hearted? How did we, as a majority community, develop a victimized mentality?

When I go out, only rarely do I encounter Muslims. Have we Hindus not then dominated the public life? When my parents are invited to Pakistan to this or that event, they say they see so many Muslims at public places, doing this that and other things. And while we have more Muslims in India than in Pakistan, we don’t see them here. Where are they, I ask? Where is equality, I ask? Would I be able to wake up to a day when as many Muslims as Hindus will be seen on our roads, in buses, trucks and trains? Or would this remain a virgin dream? In that case, I would move out to Pakistan and see Muslims dominating the public places there, as Hindus do so here. I believe in balance.

I will illustrate an event which transpired recently to emphasize our callous attitude towards Muslims. You must not have forgotten the protests against the citizenship act, whose unconstitutionality by the way was so easy to recognize that many got it without even reading the act. The face of the country-wide protests had become the Shaheen Bagh women, remember? And when these most progressive of our women, clad in burqa, were doing their sit-ins in the most non-obstructive of places, that is a road, did anyone care to join? When they immobilized the whole area for so many weeks, at throwaway rate of few hundred rupees per day, sacrificing so much as to even causing death to one of their infant out of negligence, and doing a deep study of constitution by reciting the preamble – when they were about to become the heralders of our own 1960s era, did we join? And the answer is a resounding no!

Instead, we sat in our cozy homes, and worked hard not to read Thoreau on civil disobedience. Granted, many among us wrote such tweets as would be read by generations, but does there end our responsibility? The answer must again be a resounding no!

Have we then not become a morally corrupt country, as the philosopher Rana Ayyub says? In this era of Rudra Hanuman stickers becoming ubiquitous on car backs, can one not even chant ‘La Ilaha Ilalaha’? I haven’t read the book, but I would say, ‘Cry, the beloved country’!

And now comes the confession.

I am confounded, therefore, having such beliefs as I have just adumbrated, to have fallen for a girl who is, what we say, a bhakt. The promiscuity, a proxy for feminism, the insignia of an empowered woman, she finds distasteful. She considers the actions of present government with good intentions and gives it the benefit of doubt too! She doesn’t criticize Islam without good reasons (as if there could ever be a good reason, ha ha), but likewise she doesn’t criticize Hinduism too!! In fact, she is a proud Hindu and celebrates with much joy its festivals. She thinks of other matters too apart from politics, like for instance, about the book she is reading, or the food she’d have, or even about ice-cream flavors!! And sometimes, she laughs at that paragon of statesmanship also known by the name of Rahul Gandhi!

And yet I fell for her. It’s bad, but that’s life, I guess.

I wish I could compensate for this deviance by ending my confession with some French quote, to assure you all that I am as much committed to cosmopolitanism as is demanded of me as a liberal. To assure you that though in matters of heart, I might have fallen, however I am still lofty in matters of head. But sadly, I don’t know French. Don’t despair however: I have started to learn. Accept this evidence: Au revoir!

WHO, Corona And Chinese tactics

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There are total 1,607,595 Wuhan(COVID-19) virus cases and registered deaths are 95,785 across the world which is equal to population of some small countries. Today’s world is very different from the one we lived in before the pandemic began. Wuhan virus outbreak is at peak across the developed and emerging economies. Financial markets and economy are at meltdown. It will rob the global economy of more than $5 trillion in next two years which is equal to the GDP of Japan.

At the time of SARS (COVID-19 and SARS are from the same family) WHO warned the world community that animal reservoirs could be a source for future outbreak. China is global hub for the illegal trade of wildlife animals. In 2003, China’s wet markets were identified as most suitable environment for the virus. But WHO and world community didn’t do any thing.

In December pneumonia, fever like virus was detected in Wuhan. The DG Of WHO Dr. Tedros denied the human to human transmission of novel Corona Virus. He also backed China for its transparency. Some experts estimates that the virus had spread to humans in October but china informed WHO on December 31. But WHO did not show any urgency to send investigation team there. WHO also urged international community not to impose the travel restriction. ECDC also suggested that the probability of virus infection in EU was very low.

Every thing was the part of chines propaganda and WHO appeasement. Dr Tedros (Fomer Minister of Ethiopia) is very close of Chines Govt. Margaret Chan led WHO also signed an MoU with China to advance health priorities under the contested One Belt One Road initiative.

China used its credit capabilities in foreign policy and accessed the reach in Indian Ocean, Europe and Africa. In this China lead health emergency. Countries which are in dept have only two option “DEFEAT OR DEFAULT”.

China is increasing its influence in United Nation institutes and organisations which is alarming state for Democratic countries. One day, we will win this battle but the tactics, lies and propaganda of chines authoritarian communist Govt will be prolonged.

Economic future of India

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What has happened is not normal; the world will not be normal after the COVID-19 crisis is over. It won’t be business as usual and every country will safeguard its interest with priority. As per current trends, it seems that countries will try to be less dependent on other countries and produce as much of the requirement of their resources. The present situation is of autarchy; a situation where trade is only happening for medical essentials. Many countries are waking up to the realization that dependence on China is unreliable, and not in the interest of them and thus should reduce.

COVID-19 has brought new migration trends, which were never expected by any economists in the world. The movement of laborers from urban to rural is unprecedented. The reason they worked and lived in these cities was the lack of remuneration for their work in villages and small towns. India though a developing country earns more from the tertiary sector than the primary sector just like developed countries, with most of its largely unskilled workforce employed in the primary sector. India was deindustrialized during the colonial period, which led to excessive dependence on agriculture. Earlier agriculture was a seasonal job with people employed in more than one occupation. India then, much like today’s China had towns with a labor population specializing in the production of particular commodities.

It is unlikely that in the coming days, laborers will like to move back to a few urban centers in India. With labor unwilling to move to the established urban centers, production has to be decentralized to smaller towns and the hinterlands.

As a result of this policy shift, smaller cities will rise, so will labors income. Labour will specialize in production in hubs closer to their villages with production based on mostly locally available resources. The government will have to support farmers with direct subsidies. The dividends of all these economic activities will be sweet: It will increase the income of the workforce and reduce rental costs in big cities, one of the highest in the world. There will be a huge demand for manufactured commodities which will increase investment and employment with tier 2 and tier 3 towns emerging as a popular destination for both.

In a post-COVID world, India’s military must be a part of India’s economic objectives. Much of the Indian army strength comes from Indian villages. So far, India’s lack of assertiveness has led to many lost opportunities. India needs to endeavor outside its so-called natural geographic or psychological boundaries militarily. A country that has a big share of humanity has a legitimate right over more resources.

Thus, we need to think about our neighborhood in the new light. Under a new paradigm, there are three kinds of nations in our neighborhood. The first category is: countries that will allow our labor, business or capital to operate in their land; these are friendly territories whose resources are available for our utilization in some form. Efforts should be made to bring them closer with overall engagements. Second, countries that will continue or emerge as harmful to India and whose presence is to unnaturally contain us. Dismantling of such nation-states, for example, Pakistan, should be our national objective. Third, countries that are to be destroyed themselves. Such countries will have internal strife or rule of law will collapse or will waste their resources in puritan religious or political pursuits. They will provide opportunities for other countries for growth and control over resources. In its neighborhood, India should have an undisputed claim over such failed or failing nations’ resources.

Any remnants of inward-looking military policy should be replaced with outside-in strategy.

Road-map for government actions during and after the coronavirus pandemic

“Leaders have three fundamental responsibilities: They craft a vision, they build alignment, and they champion execution.” Anonymous

With the rapid spread of coronavirus, governments across the world adopted social distancing and lock-downs. These measures brought all economic activity except those in essential goods/services to a grinding halt and pushed the world economies into recession. While the costs from this rut, as unpalatable as they are, are inevitable, this also provides an opportunity for the world leaders to reshape their economies while the economic activity is low. This article provides the activities that governments should be taking as they pass along the pandemic curve. 

Phase1: Measures to stay afloat – These measures include providing sustaining economic stimulus to the populations, and businesses so they stay afloat while the situation is taken care of. Other actions that can be taken here include securing capital by providing cushion to borrowers and financial institutions by way of loan, interest and EMI moratoriums.

Phase2: Assess resources and action plans – Perform modeling analysis on different ways in which economies may come out of the pandemic (Virus contained and subdued, treatments found for the virus, pandemic contained but resurges, pandemic prolongs for a longer-term), and the extent of damage done to different sectors and industries of the economy. Marshall required resources and develop a blueprint on how they would like to open up the economies.

“You never want a serious crisis to go to waste. And what I mean by that is an opportunity to do things that you think you could not do before.” – ― Rahm Emanuel

Phase3: Rethink goals and action plans – Subdued demand, broken supply chains, and reduced capital flow provide the right concoction of circumstances for governments to reassess risks, redirect supply chains, build manufacturing capabilities, and scale production gradually while demand picks up. In case any such action is desired to be taken, the governments also need to have short-term, medium-term and long-term rolling action plans by which they would like to kick start the economic activities.

“Execution is everything.” John Doerr

Phase4: Implement the action plans – Implement any economic stimulus and action plans systematically.  This is a long-drawn process and may go well beyond the end of the pandemic. Also, the plan needs to be calibrated carefully based on ground reports and insights gained while implementing the plans.

The current crisis provides once in a lifetime opportunity to world leaders, to recraft their economies as well as the global trade. Future generations will allot a place of honor in the annals of history to those who take advantage of this opportunity.

Start preparing for the new normal in the post-coronavirus world

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As the debate continues on the origins of the coronavirus, as to if it is created in a Chinese laboratory or if it originated in other wild animals in China or if it is a natural evolution of the virus, it certainly exposed the global fault lines and vulnerabilities to the world.

Based on statistics, some intellectuals are quick to point out that disasters of this magnitude occur once in a century, thereby implying that we may not face another devastation like the current one during our lifetime. This may be true if the only force that we have to contend with is mother nature. But unfortunately for us, there are many actors in the play, and we are better off guarding against being lulled into a false sense of security.

The pandemic provided a systematic working model on the spread of biological agents, the government responses, the impact on economies, and the limitations of response systems. Also, the ease with which governments across the world succumbed before an invisible enemy provides added impetus to terrorist organizations to try their hand at biological warfare. Accordingly, it’s a question as to when and not if some rogue elements will exploit the situation and cause more such pandemics.

Although the threat of biological warfare is not new, and many nations have been preparing for one, for a long time, the current situation not only exposed the gaps in our preparedness but also made it clear that we are not in any position to withstand a repeat performance, leave alone a series of attacks.

Now the question that begs an answer is what actions we should take to prevent and prepare for such threats? Below are the top five measures that each of us and the governments that represent us should be taking now.

Measures by Individuals – Each of us should:

  1. realize that we are the foot soldiers in any biological war, and be battle-ready by ensuring our own physical and psychological well-being.
  2. prepare to support ourselves for short intervals of time where governments may be completely / partially paralyzed.
  3. have a well thought out personal emergency response plan for each of the major situations that we may come across.
  4. hold governments and businesses accountable for taking measures to prepare and protect us from these threats.
  5. play an active role in guiding/helping the governments in preparing the strategies and actions necessary to protect us from threats.

Measures by Governments – Each government should:

  1. develop global trade responsibly and build structures to support information on any emerging threats and response systems to deal with them.
  2. encourage the scientific community to explore ways to trigger faster production of antibodies by human immune systems to fend off viruses. 
  3. rapidly increase medical staff, equipment, and facilities.
  4. foster an environment for rapid innovation, and drastically reduce the time it takes to create new anti-viral/anti-bacterial drugs.
  5. build economic structures that could withstand and secure supply chains in the wake of massive disruptions. These measures can range from being self-sufficient in identified products/services to building disaster recovery centers where production can be ramped-up at short notice.

Although the impending threats may seem daunting, we should take strength and inspiration from the fact that we have the resilience to overcome these challenges as is evidenced by our history of emerging victorious from past pandemics and other disasters. We will surely overcome these threats, with the help of the resilience, planning, preparations, and survival instincts that we are endowed in plenty.

Leadership in turbulent Covid19 times

We live in scary times. The world is under Lockdown. The leader of the free world initially bombastically claimed that “Coronavirus is a hoax. It is conspiracy floated by the Do Nothing Democrats who failed to get me impeached”. Trump said he was now a ‘Wartime President and he would thump the invisible enemy”. Trump who repeatedly said he was not ‘worried’, is now a ‘scared man in the Oval Office’ as Politico reports.

A President ‘who had an attention span less than that of a second grader’ as Daily Beast brutally put it, now is furious with his aides for ‘talking nonstop nonsense on this wretched Covid19”. Notwithstanding Trump’s efforts to disregard the scientists and medical professional on the viral spread of this Pandemic, he has now been forced to pivot and backtrack shamelessly as he says, “America is poised to face its worst ever and Americans better get their seat belts on.” Times they are a changing and how.

Such a President as he claiming to be a Wartime President, is a cruel joke perpetrated on history. Read Susan Rice on Trump as ‘Wartime President’. There have been leaders who not only ate last but came first to stand on the front lines to bravely face adversity. Trump, the narcissist, had his way, with no crisis on hand , like 9/11 or 2008 financial crisis or Iran Contra deal or Iran hostages or even the Obama Bengazi raid, until Covid-19 hit hard. His America First and Isolationist policy and treating even NATO nations not as allies, but as contributors or competitors, had vitiated the environment completely. He picked up quarrels with China and was friendly only with dictators as in Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Hungary. A tragedy was waiting to happen. By god, what a crisis the world is facing but without the leadership from America, which would have surely been a soothing balm in these critical times.

Forget not that Barack Obama was at the helm, when SARS and Ebola broke out, no less harmful viruses. He led the world in the fight and there was ‘close co operation and co ordination like never before since the Allies got together in the second world war, except this time there was no Nazi Germany at the end of the spear, but the deadly diseases’, gloated Joe Biden, likely Democratic nominee for 2020 presidential elections. It only makes the present a stark reality that Trump has exposed the entire world to face its own battles, each for himself or herself, without an international leadership, which was desperately needed.

These thoughts and more crossed the mind, as one was reading and re reading the works of Doris Kearns Goodwin. Her husband was a brilliant speech writer for Presidents and Presidential aspirants and the historian herself a scintillating story teller. “Pulitzer Prize-winning author Doris Kearns Goodwin demonstrates how leaders are made, not born, as she thoughtfully explores the highs and lows of four U.S. presidents who faced moments of horrific national/international crisis. Goodwin’s clean, assured sentences set the stage as each future president discovers within himself the desire to enter politics, the calamitous blows that knocked each one down, and how they tackled the struggles that tore at the sinews of the country. Most fascinating is Goodwin’s revelations about how very differently Abraham Lincoln, Theodore Roosevelt, Franklin D. Roosevelt, and Lyndon B. Johnson approached not only their political careers but how they developed the character traits that helped them see— or make— a path toward a critical response that many others disagreed with.

Lincoln’s delivery of the Emancipation Proclamation, Theodore Roosevelt’s handling of labour strikes, FDR’s battle against the Great Depression in his first 100 days, and Johnson’s prioritization of civil rights, while a nation mourned were actions that could have ripped the country further apart but eventually bound it together and strengthened its democratic foundations. The rare weakness within Leadership: In Turbulent Times is the outlining of specific qualities, such as “Take the measure of the man” and “Set a deadline and drive full-bore to meet it,” that are meant to distil leadership wisdom into bullet points, like contemporary business books. Goodwin’s strength is in the rich context she provides as she shows that great leaders develop in dissimilar ways but ultimately have a vision they reach for and rely on when times are at their most turbulent.”

Closer home, Narendra Modi is our chosen leader. Is he up to it? Is he on the right path? Were his Janatha Curfew clapping and Diya Chalo routines, symbolic or inspirational ideas to infuse much needed resilience and solidarity among We The People that We Shall overcome? One thing is clear and undeniable. There has been no crisis of this magnitude ever before seen in the world. No country has faced such attacks from all flanks, health, mental, physical, economic and more. The leader has to be uniquely qualified to lead. The messages have to be loud and strong. But, at the back of it, there must be planning and execution on the ground.

India and the world have no precedent to follow. Wuhan, Hubei province in China was virally impacted on Nov 17th, 2020, for the first time. It was not long before Jan, 21st that World Health Organisation conceded it was a Pandemic or a Global Health Emergency and China locked down Wuhan on 23rd Jan. Valuable time was lost to the world. That has made the task of the leaders of the world all the more difficult and it therefore requires leadership of even more extraordinary faculties, to face the onslaught.

It is too early to judge Modi’s measures. He has been trying every trick in the trade. We are a huge country of more than continent size. We are densely populated with 1.3 billion of us packed as sardines, rendering social distancing a tough practice. When the US and UK were procrastinating on ordering a lockdown, Italy and Spain were constrained to do so. That gave India the go ahead to go early from 25th March, 2020 for a 21 day national lockdown. Yes, it seemed sudden, unplanned and came out of the blue, giving little time for the teeming migrant labourers to make their choices for residence. Add the #FakeNews that the lockdown may last 3 months, the migrant labourers got panicky and started their long mach home, making mincemeat of social distancing and we all felt sorry for them.

As for the economic package, the first of them has come, as the Finance Minister Nirmala Sitaraman suggests. We are likely to have the next in a week, even as Narendra Modi called for an all party meeting on 8th April, 2020. The situation is dicey. That Modi has been forced to reach out to past Presidents and Prime Ministers, communicates to us, loud and clear, how difficult leadership in these climes is. Truth to tell, absence of a firm and strong leader in the White House was a huge let down for the entire world. Trump has failed not US of A but the world at large. We have to wait for a Doris Kearns Goodin to record history.

 (Narasimhan Vijayaraghavan-Author is practising advocate in the Madras High Court)

Imbecility: Property of a pseudo-liberal millennial

Even in this apocalyptic time, I’m studying for my competitive examinations which are going to be conducted later this year if the world still remains. But sometimes studying all the time and thought of the world coming to an end stresses me out. So, to reduce the stress, I take the good’ol route of social media. 

Meme creators may very well be the violin players on this sinking earth, giving people something to laugh about in these tiring times. But my pseudo-liberal friends with their Instagram stories are like pessimistic dimwits who just do fear-mongering and shouts ‘we’re all gonna die’ to create unrest in a perfectly controlled situation. 

How these good students turned into pseudo-Liberal low IQed imbeciles is the story for another time. But regular ranting on social media by these millennials keeps me entertain whenever I’m not having my head inside a book.

One day I was talking to one of my self-acclaimed liberal friends, who I think doesn’t have an iota of understanding about what the basic definition of liberalism is. Anyway, it was not surprising as most of them don’t. She doesn’t shy away from branding you a Bhakt or a right-wing extremist if you try to feed some sense into her senseless mind.

After watching a whole day of ranting and over 50 Instagram stories of how workers are forced to walk home, how social distancing is a distant dream for some and how ‘Modi government could’ve handled the situation better’, I was not able to control myself from responding. On asking what did she suggest one must do if not a lockdown in this pandemic, not to my surprise, she had no answer to my question, all I got in return was just whataboutery and not a single ounce of constructive criticism.

This is the case of almost all the pseudo-liberal millennials who think they know everything but just fail to understand the basic requirement to be a liberal- ‘Brain’

You need to understand the ideology before you start claiming yourself as its practitioner.

Analyzing these people what I deduced is that there are two kinds of pseudos millennials in our midst.

First are those who are the passouts of a left centric curriculum mostly comprising of the people from the arts background. The opinions they have are influenced by the leftist curriculum which they went through in college. These kinds of pseudos occasionally make sense in their criticism though it is very rare.

Now the second kind, I call them ‘Want to look cool’ pseudos. This type is more dangerous than the first one. These kinds of pseudos are just anti-establishment because it gives them a feeling of activism. These are the ones who believe everything written on social media and also contribute to spreading fake news. These include ‘Papa ki Pariya’ of Instagram and low IQ Bollywood actors. The reason for them being angry with the Modi government would probably be that Modi has put a nationwide lockdown and they’re not able to go to bar or club to waste their time. That’s pretty much a valid enough reason for them to rant on social media for 24 hours straight.

Dear Pseudo-Liberal Millennials,

What you need to keep in mind is that anybody who doesn’t share the same opinion as yours is not a racist or a regressive person.

You don’t call yourself a liberal if you have a problem with every opinion other than yourself.

You don’t call yourself liberal if you mock someone’s faith by calling them ‘cow piss drinkers’ or ‘cow dung eaters’- The same phrases which are used by jihadi terrorists to address Hindus.

You don’t call yourself liberal if you rant day and night against something you don’t understand just because it is done by someone you hate.

Sitting in your AC homes ranting all night about a situation that you have no understanding about is very easy, it might give the satisfaction of activism to your cynic minds. But when it comes to working on the field and doing what it takes to resolve the situation. That’s where the real activism lies.

There is nothing good in being a professional pessimist.

I’m afraid what will become of our nation if this pseudo-liberal social media activist generation takes over. Responsibility of an aware person in these times would be to counter each and every pseudo-liberal millenial spreading fakeness and propaganda and try to fill some senses into the rusted brains of ‘Rowdy Rahul’ and ‘Papa ki Pari Simran’.