After the unequivocal verdict of the highest court of any country, a responsible opposition and its leaders will ideally drop the issue and look for more issues to hold the government accountable. However, this is not what happened in the case of Rafale deal in India. India’s grand old party Congress and its president continue to go gaga over their allegations in Rafale case. This now doesn’t look so simple and there appears to be a nefarious design behind this sustained campaign for creating the scam out of Rafale deal.
Due to fast paced probe in AgustaWestland case and statements of the extradited middleman Christian Michel, the so called ‘First Family’ looks to be in trouble. According to a Times of India report, Enforcement Directorate informed the Delhi’s Patiala House Court that the accused Christian Michel has taken the name of “Mrs Gandhi” and also spoke about “the son of the Italian lady” who is going to be “the next prime minister of India”. This is big. If the probe continues, it is going to raise the temperature for the Congress Party especially when the elections are around the corner and when it is fighting to save its fortune.
One may ask why is it that Rafale can be used as a bargaining chip when there is no scam in it. Yes, Rafale is now free of taints as also highlighted by the apex court of the country. But it still has the potential left in itself to be misused by a politician who is on a lying spree to confuse voters. If you keep telling a lie thousand times, it may not become the truth but can still cause immense damage by causing the confusion in the mind of voters.
It is to check this damage of PM Modi’s reputation even by a lie this that Congress President may be thinking to signal Prime Minister Modi to stop or slow down the pace of probe in AgustaWestland which if continues, may further cause damage to Congress Party which is already struggling. If the AgustaWestland probe slows down, Rahul Gandhi’s campaign on Rafale may also stop.
The above point is not without precedent. In the case of National Herald, Congress had possibly adopted the similar strategy by bringing the impeachment motion against the CJP on the pretext of Justice Loya death case, the motion in reality was to signal the judges presiding over the National Herald case. This was also an allegation levelled by PM Modi on Congress.
So, Rafale is now a dead deal which is being kept alive to dig the grave for AgustaWestland. However, looking at the current political atmosphere in the country, Prime Minister Narendra Modi appears to go hell bent on AgustaWestland come may what.
Truth is stranger than fiction, and how we define truth is even stranger than the truth.
If only Isaac Newton was a pseudo-secular-neo-intellectual-liberal or a modern day journalist, he would have prosecuted the apple and the tree from where it fell on to him for attacking him and his freedom. The apple did fall, it fell from the tree, it is a fact, a true event, the ultimate truth. What is Gravitational Force? What does it have to do with the apple falling on him? Can anybody see it? hear it? or touch it? No! Thank god, Newton was neither a pseudo-secular-neo-intellectual-liberal nor a modern day journalist. If he were one, perhaps Apples would have been considered devil’s instruments, because where ever you go, the apples (if they fall) will fall on whoever sits under the tree. Only the person who sits under a tree is different but all other conditions (tree, apple, atmosphere and earth) are constants.
Likewise are the lynchings; lynchings in the name of cow. Only the faces are different; a larger group of people killing one or maybe more than one person. Cow is a constant and nowwhatsapp is also a constant. These are some truths, facts. We can see a mob, a person being lynched, a cow and whatsapp messages. But what is the force which is making them commit this crime? Or do you think, Indians are that stupid, and will kill a complete stranger just because they read a message on whatsapp? I beg to differ.
Survival Instinct! The human instinct to survive is the most powerful drive or force.
Cow is a source of living for a lot of people in India; they sell cow’s milk and milk products. What should a person, who survives only because his cow is alive and healthy do when she is taken away from him?
How do you earn your living? What if somebody takes your source of income? What will you do? How will you survive in this world?
A logical reflex argument one could make is “a formal complaint with the police should be filed, no one should take law in his/her hands; we all are civilized and law abiding citizens. Aren’t we?” Indeed we are. But there are two small problems with the argument. First, is police even accessible to all the places we are talking about? Even after 70 years of independence villages are not connected by roads, they do not have electricity connections. If the two most important and basic things are missing, the access to police looks challenging.
Second and more important, if there is police and is accessible why is cow smuggling still happening? You might not have heard much about cow smuggling because journalists today like to play with words. Whenever smuggling is mentioned, terms like “cattle” and “bovine cattle” are used. However, when lynching is mentioned, terms like “cow” and “beef” are used. It could be a mere co-incidence or a deliberate endeavor to hide something or to build some narrative. You could decide.
Cattle smuggling between India and Bangladesh is estimated to be around $500 Million business. The smuggling business has evolved into a criminal enterprise. On a daily basis 20,000 to 25,000 (i.e. more than 5 million annually) cattle heads are smuggled out of India.
Smuggled for slaughter
The thing is, these cows and calves don’t have wings, they don’t fly; somebody walks them across the border as shown on the right and only a small fraction is ferried in trucks.
Seized cow smuggled vehicle
Who do these cows and calves belong to? They are not apples falling from a tree; they belong to someone. They were stolen. During all this, not only some lost their livelihood but also countless number of border security personnel lost their lives.
Either you crack the whip at smuggling completely or let people help themselves. Moreover, we could be like Bangladesh who considers it as legal trade instead of smuggling. In fact this is a great approach to fix a lot of other issues, make child trade legal – no child trafficking, make women trade legal – no women trafficking, drugs legal – no drug trafficking, stand for no value- no confrontation.
For a person who earns his living with the help of a cow, a dead cow is as good as him being dead.
The chaotic situation that we have been witnessing after 2014 is because the government for the first time is doing the right thing. They are not turning a blind eye to the illegal activities which had become a norm in last 70 years. BSF claims that deployment of more force, inducting modern gadgets have helped them drastically reduce smuggling.
How did Hinduism come in all this? As far as Hinduism is concerned, not only cow but every living being, from a tiny mouse to a mighty elephant from a crawling snake to a flying eagle has its own place. The dog (Shvan) is also the vahana or mount of the Hindu god Bhairava. Indra’s vehicle is a white, elephant known as Airavath, which according to the Puranas emerged during the churning of the oceans by gods and demons. It was given to Indra as a gift. Ganesha, the lord of the Shiva ganas, has the head of an elephant. Hindus worship Hayagriva, an incarnation of Vishnu who has the head of a horse and who played an important role in saving the Vedas during a conflict with the demons.
Lord Shiva is known as Vrishabhanath, lord of the bulls. His vehicle is Nandi, the divine bull, also known as Basava, who is worshiped by devotees individually as a personal god and in association with Shiva as his vehicle.The tiger is the most popular and well-known vehicle of Shakti and her numerous manifestations. Serpents, snakes, rats, lions, cats and the list goes on. In short, as per hinduism you look at every life form as worthy of life as yourself. Just because human race evolved to posses an extra thumb in each hand and a few extra ounces of brain, they did not win a right to own or kill other life forms.
Congress along with its promoters and supporters have consciously molded this issue as per their convenience. These incidents did not come into existence after 2014, they were right there but were never highlighted. Why?I think if these issues were raised under UPA regime, they would have been considered law and order issues (which I think is true) and would have portrayed UPA in a bad light. Showing these incidents in the shadow of cow vigilantism now helps their cause. But why shoot the messenger? Why target Whatsapp? Whatsapp came into existence much later, these lynchings along with the lynchings in the name of child lifters have been there way before it. You could research by yourself how big is the human trafficking business in India or wait for my next blog on this. Think! Think, who benefits the most if whatsapp is discredited?
Why are they trying to lynch whatsapp; in the name of Holy Cows?
The prime minister in his interview to ANl TV’s journalist Mrs. Smita Prakash spoke candidly what his views, his achievements and his party’s stand on all issues concerning the nation. Though Rahul Gandhi called the interviewer a ‘pliable journalist’ she could handle better than the international journalist Fareed Zakaria (who also interviewed prime minister Modi a couple of years ago) in asking all comprehensive questions. To know directly from the prime minister his opinions on varied issues was a delight. Throughout the interview he was poised and was humble in answering questions that appealed to many.
The PM said the electoral battle of his party in 2019 would be between Janta versus Gatbhandhan. He answered queries on all fronts i.e. ranging from demonetization, GST, cow related violence, Pakistan, Sabarimala, Rafale, economic offenders/fugitives running away, resignation RBI governor Urjith Patel, farmers distress, solutions to middle classes problems, surgical strikes etc.
While talking about what was going through his mind when he approved and assented surgical strikes, he (the P.M) was very humane. The interviewer Smita Prakash cleverly brought out what was inside the prime minister’s mind (otherwise enigmatic to the general public) by articulating her question that the people of country would like to know how P.M. felt about the military operation while it was on. The prime minister said emphatically, he wanted all his soldiers to come back safe after conducting the strikes in the night and not to risk their lives by overstepping or overstaying if the operation was not done in the stipulated duration. He also stated he was worried till he heard that the army accomplished the task and came back safe in the afternoon and released the bulletin. It appeared that he treated all soldiers like his own children and his own family. That’s the reason he celebrated all five Diwalis of his tenure with the military soldiers in their camps.
When the interviewer asked him that he was, through his welfare schemes, providing relief to the poor and also to the rich businessmen with incentives for ease of businesses, the middle class being squeezed out in the midst subjected to tax-woes, the P.M elaborated the slew of measures he had taken to benefit the middle classes. He also said the middle were important for their contribution to the country. Hence, he said the air travel, railway services were made affordable to middle classes in his tenure. In fact, he stated middle classes have been travelling more on air now than on land.
On all fronts of developmental programs, the P.M has proved himself to be development-oriented. He provided farmers a kind of relief with solar pump-sets and good quality urea and other aids to alleviate agrarian distress. On international relations front, he exercised to a great extent to bring bilateral efforts by de-hyphenating countries like Palestine and Israel and attended international summit-meets for multi-lateral economic and trade relationships that yielded fruitful results.
The BJP government in the present (last one in its ruling) Parliament session made all out effort to pass the bill on instant triple talaq (talaq-e-biddat) but has made no move till date to pass a bill for the construction of Ram Mandir. In 1989 , the same BJP passed a resolution in Palampur saying that the party was committed to the construction of Ram Temple either through mutual consultation or by an enabling legislation. In the recent interview P.M Modi stated that the bill for triple talaq was tabled and passed because the Supreme Court had cleared the case to enable a legislation whereas in the case of Ayodhya Ram Mandir it is not so. Unless the judiciary passes its verdict (or till the judicial process ends) the party cannot make a headway for any decision relating to Temple, he said categorically. This stand of BJP dampens the spirits of the people, specially the BJP’S core voters, for, it defies all logic/commitment of the party.
The Supreme Court, even to constitute a bench to take up the case, postponed the matter in a jiffy to 10th January. Nobody knows how many more years the arguments might take place. So, the final verdict is too long to fathom.
The case of Ayodhya temple has been pending in courts since 1948 or so. Fully knowing the case to be in sub-judice, BJP (earlier) made a movement for the temple construction and committed to the voters for the cause. It’s this single temple issue that gave a face to BJP as a national party. Shri Modi was and is the BJP leader and RSS Pracharak of that vintage. He, as an organizer, sent troops of karasevaks to Ayodhya.
Now the same party absolving the responsibility (without even a trial bill in Parliament) of constructing the temple when in full majority, is something incomprehensible. The BJP has to ensure people that at least next time round it would build the temple and see to the interests of Hindus. That would be a saving grace for the party.
Dr. Raghuram Rajan gave his famous ‘Dosa Economics’ theory while delivering the C.D. Deshmukh lecture at NCAER, New Delhi on Jan 29, 2016. The gist of the theory is that lower interest rate with lower inflation rate is better than the high interest rate with high inflation rate. For layman or ‘aam aadmi’ or middle class it means low inflation regime is better. To understand more go through this answer posted on Quora, ‘What is Raghuram Rajan’s dosa economics?’
Now let us test the performance of UPA led by Dr. Manmohan Singh and NDA led by Narendra Modi against ‘Dosa Economics theory’. The period chosen is from 2009 to 2018 in which UPA was in power till April, 2014 and NDA from May 2014. Let us assume that cost of 1 Dosa at the start of year 2009 was Rs 20. Also, I had Rs 1,00,000 (1 lakh) at the start of year 2009. It means I could buy 5000 dosas (1,00,000/20 = 5000) at the start of year 2009.
For making calculations simpler and for a better comparison below assumptions have been made:
For UPA tenure, maximum value of FD interest rate for the year has been taken.
For NDA tenure, minimum value of FD interest rate for the year has been taken.
Below chart shows the application of Dosa economics theory. At the end of every year, how much Dosas one can buy is calculated given the FD interest rate and inflation.
UPA govt was in power till April, 2014. The initial amount of Rs 1 lakh at the start of year 2009 would have bought 5,000 dosas at cost of Rs 20 per dosa. With the given inflation and interest rate data for UPA tenure; at the end of year 2013, Rs 1 lakh would have become Rs 1,51,397.82 (Rs One lakh Fifty One Thousand Three Hundred Ninety Two and Eighty Two paise). The cost of each dosa rose to Rs 32.52 from Rs 20 and one could have bought a total of 4,656 dosas only.
NDA is in power from May 2014 till now. The initial amount of Rs 1 lakh at the start of year 2014 would have bought 5,000 dosas at cost of Rs 20 per dosa. With the given inflation and interest rate data for NDA tenure; at the end of year 2018, Rs 1 lakh would have become Rs 1,43,877.39 (Rs One lakh Forty Three Thousand Eight Hundred Seventy Seven and Thirty Nine paise). The cost of each dosa rose to Rs 25.08 from Rs 20 and one could have bought a total of 5,736 dosas.
One can clearly see that a person whose purchasing power was 5,000 dosas in 2009, it reduced to 4,656 dosas at the end of 2013 under UPA govt. tenure. Due to high inflation, a person has become poorer by 344 dosas (5000 – 4656).
The same person’s purchasing power of 5,000 dosas in 2014 increases to 5,736 dosas at the end of 2018 under NDA govt. tenure. A low inflation regime has made the person richer by 736 dosas (5736 – 5000).
Even though Rs 1 lakh becomes Rs 1,43,877.39 under NDA which is lower than Rs 1,51,397.82 under UPA; the purchasing power of common man increases under NDA due to low inflation and reduced during UPA tenure due to high inflation. The same is explained by the amount of Dosas one can buy. This is the crux of ‘Dosa economics’ by ex RBI Governor Dr. Raghuram Rajan.
Now, it is up to to the people to decide which govt. is better for them. This is plain Mathematics is neither influenced nor prejudiced. Hence, I leave this up to the better judgement of the people whom to choose during the upcoming Lok Sabha elections in 2019.
As the Indian economy is growing, its electricity consumption is also growing significantly. In 2015, India announced an ambitious goal of increasing its renewable capacity from 50 GW (gigawatt) to 175 GW (gigawatt) by the year 2022.
Especially in the solar power sector, India’s agenda is taking an ambitious turn. Earlier in the year 2018, India announced an additional 100GW capacity of solar energy to be produced to the already planned 100GW. The additional 100GW is planned to aim at the year by 2035.
With an average of 300 days of clear and sunny days, India receives a tremendous amount of solar energy and provides us with the opportunity to use this clean source of energy.
Current state of Solar Energy Projects
In the last few years, it has been quite evident that India is exploring its solar producing capacity in many ways. With an ambitious target of achieving 100GW solar capacity by 2022, India is also aiming to achieve an additional 100 GW by 2035.
Currently, India stands fifth as the solar energy producing country. It is continuously aiming to top this chart. To further strengthen their position in the solar energy sector, India formed an alliance of 121 solar-rich countries by bringing them together on a platform called ‘International Solar Alliance’.
India has tremendously grown its solar energy capacity in the last four years. India has shown an eight-times increase in its solar energy producing capacity in the last four years. Reaching 24 GW in July 2018 from 2.6 GW in 2014. In 2018 itself, India managed to install whooping 9 GW of solar capacity against 5 GW in the year 2017. The utility capacity grew by 72% in the year 2018 as compared to 2017.
Currently, half of the world’s largest solar parks are situated in India. So far 41 new solar projects with an aggregate capacity of nearly 26 GW are sanctioned under the ‘Solar Parks and Ultra Mega Solar Power Projects’ scheme.
Rooftop Solar Plant
The Indian Ministry of New and Renewable energy is trying to push the installation of rooftop solar panels in commercial, residential and industrial buildings. A single window portal for providing complete information on rooftop solar and single point clearance for the installation of the same has been developed in Delhi and plans are been made to do the same in other states and union territories.
The plan for adding additional solar capacity is very much necessary in a country like India. With booming economic growth, India is being heavily dependent on coal as the source of energy. There is an urgent need for renewable energy plans since India has 14 among the top 20 most polluted cities in the world.
Hurdles in Implementing Solar Energy Projects
Although many experiments in solar energy projects have been taking place, there are some major issues creating hurdles in the implementation of the project.
As of 2018, the number of new projects getting on-board has decreased considerably. With inefficient energy output and low capital returns being the major reasons.
It has been noted that the Ministry on New and Renewable Energy has been unable to utilize all the resources available due to its poor financial planning.
Implementation of Goods and Service Tax (GST) is causing additional hurdles in solar energy projects. The GST tax has increased the module cost by 18%, inverters by 12% and service cost by 3%. Therefore increasing the total cost of the project by 12%.
Due to low financial returns, the number of new projects getting on-board has also slowed down. As a result, there are a vast number of companies chasing very few numbers of projects.
Implementation of solar energy projects is gaining popularity in India. Compared to other renewable sources of energy, solar energy is relatively cheap and easy to implement. The current plan of adding the additional 100 GW capacity wouldn’t be in the form of one massive energy plant but involves financing many small projects.
Conclusion
India has taken an aspiring goal of adding 100 GW of additional solar capacity. The goal seems too ambitious, but looks feasible with India’s current growing economic condition.
In the coming years, India needs to advance its technological and economic plans when dealing with solar energy projects. In the case of domestic and small-scale projects, India needs to address its price sensitive issues. Especially in the case of rooftop solar systems that are vital part of India’s solar energy goals as it aims in providing electricity to the 20% population who still lives without electricity.
But with new capital investment for solar energy projects emerging in India, the country is a prime location for an industry that has a significant impact on the renewable energy sector and the world’s wider climatic change goals.
वैसे तो आने वाला हर साल अपने साथ उत्साह और उम्मीदों की नई किरणें ले कर आता है, लेकिन यह साल कुछ खास है। क्योंकि आमतौर पर देश की राजनीति में रूचि न रखने वाले लोग भी इस बार यह देखने के लिए उत्सुक हैं कि 2019 में राजनीति का ऊँठ किस करवट बैठेगा। खास तौर पर इसलिए कि 2019 की शुरुआत दो ऐसी महत्त्वपूर्ण घटनाओं से हुई जिसने अवश्य ही हर एक का ध्यान अपनी ओर आकर्षित किया होगा। पहली घटना, साल के पहले दिन मीडिया को दिया प्रधानमंत्री मोदी का साक्षात्कार जिसमें वे स्वयं को एक ऐसे राजनेता के रूप में व्यक्त करते दिखाई दिए जो संवैधानिक और कानूनी प्रक्रिया के साथ ही लोकतंत्र की रक्षा के लिए मजबूत विपक्ष के होने में यकीन करते दिखे। इस दौरान वे अपनी सरकार की नीतियों की मजबूत रक्षा और विपक्ष का राजनैतिक विरोध पूरी “विनम्रता” के साथ करते दिखाई दिए। कहा जा सकता है कि वो अपनी आक्रामक शैली के विपरीत डिफेंसिव दिखाई दिए।
और दूसरी घटना थी बांग्लादेश के चुनाव परिणाम।
दरअसल अपने पड़ोसी देश बांग्लादेश के हाल के चुनाव नतीजों में शेख हसीना को लगातार तीसरी बार मिली जबरदस्त कामयाबी ने भारतवासियों की ना सिर्फ कुछ पुरानी यादों को ताज़ा कर दिया बल्कि शायद इस देश के आम आदमी से लेकर भाजपा के शीर्ष नेतृत्व तक को भी काफी हद तक सोचने के लिए मजबूर किया होगा। क्योंकि लगातार 10 साल तक शासन करने के बाद, विपक्ष के तमाम आरोपों और उनकी कुछ हद तक अलोकतांत्रिक कार्यशैली (दबंग सत्तात्मक भी कहा जा सकता है) के बावजूद, इन चुनावों में बांग्लादेश की आवाम ने जिस प्रकार शेख हसीना पर अपना भरोसा जताया है और वहाँ विपक्ष का एक प्रकार से सफाया हो गया है, यह भाजपा और विशेष रूप से नरेंद्र मोदी के लिए एक केस स्टडी हो सकती है।क्योंकि जिस प्रकार वहाँ के लोगों को आज की स्थिति में शेख हसीना के अलावा अपने देश के प्रधानमंत्री के रूप में कोई अन्य चेहरा दूर दूर तक दिखाई नहीं दे रहा, उसी प्रकार भारत में भी 2014 के चुनाव ही “मोदीमय” नहीं थे बल्कि उन आम चुनावों के बाद अनेक राज्यों से आने वाले लगभग हर चुनाव परिणाम पूरे देश में मोदी लहर पर अपनी मुहर लगते जा रहे थे।ऐसा लगने लगा था कि मोदि के विजय रथ को रोकना मुश्किल ही नहीं नामुमकिन है। क्योंकि नोटबन्दी और जीएसटी जैसे कठोर निर्णयों के बावजूद जिस प्रकार उत्तरप्रदेश और गुजरात में भाजपा का परचम खुलकर लहराया और अन्य राज्यों में सहयोगियों के साथ मिलकर, उसने जहाँ एक तरफ भाजपा के हौसले बुलंद किए वहीं कांग्रेस समेत समूचे विपक्ष को हैरानी और हताशा के उस मोड़ पर ला कर खड़ा कर दिया जहाँ उन्हें यह एहसास होने लगा कि अपने अपने विरोधों को भुलाकर अपने विरोधियों के साथ मिलकर ही उनके लिए “मोदी” नाम की सुनामी का सामना करने का एकमात्र विकल्प है।
लेकिन फिर अचानक ऐसा क्या हुआ कि कल तक जो 2019 भाजपा के लिए एक आसान लक्ष्य और विपक्ष के लिए एक असम्भव चुनौती के रूप में एकतरफा खेल दिखाई दे रहा था आज एक रोमांचक युद्ध बन गया? भाजपा का गढ़ कहे जाने वाले तीन राज्य भाजपा के हाथों से फिसल गए। इन राज्यों में भाजपा और कांग्रेस के बीच केवल सत्ता का हस्तांतरण का नहीं बल्कि आत्मविश्वास का भी हस्तांतरण हुआ। 2014 के बाद पहली बार मोदी आक्रामक नहीं आत्मरक्षा की मुद्रा में और राहुल आत्मविश्वास से भरे एक नए अवतार में दिखाई दिए।
तो जनाब समझने वाली बात यह है कि कुछ भी “अचानक” नहीं होता। ना “मोदी लहर” अचानक बनी थी और ना ही राहुल का यह नया अवतार। भाजपा जिस मोदी लहर पर सवार होकर सत्ता पर काबिज हुई थी, उस मोदी को पहले एक लहर और फिर सुनामी बनने में 14 साल लगे थे। जी हाँ, और उसकी नींव पड़ी थी 2001 में जब वे पहली बार गुजरात के मुख्यमंत्री बने थे। तब देश तो छोड़ो गुजरात में भी वो कोई बड़ा नाम नहीं थे। लेकिन ये उनकी कार्यशैली ही थी जिसने गुजरात के लोगों को लगातार उन्हें ही मुख्यमंत्री चुनने के लिए विवश कर दिया। और वो मोदी का गुजरात मॉडल था जिसने उनकी कीर्ति पूरे देश में फैलाई। इसी गुजरात मॉडल और मोदी की छवि को भाजपा ने उसे पूरे देश के सामने रखकर 2014 का दाँव खेला जो सफल भी रहा।
भाजपा ही नहीं देश को उम्मीद ही नहीं विश्वास था कि गुजरात की तर्ज पर अब दिल्ली की कुर्सी भी 2025 तक बुक है। लेकिन आज वस्तुस्थिति यह है कि 2019 की राह भी कठिन लग रही है। आखिर क्यों? इसका विश्लेषण हर राजनैतिक पंडित अपने अपने तरीके से कर रहा है। कोई वोट बैंक के गणित को दोष दे रहा है तो कोई मोदी सरकार की नीतियों को। कोई विपक्षी एकता को दोष दे रहा है तो कोई भीतरघात को। कुल मिलाकर कारण बाहर ही ढूंढे जा रहे हैं भीतर नहीं। जबकि अपनी हार को जीत में वो ही बदल सकता है जो कमियाँ खुद में ढूंढता है परिस्थितियों में नहीं। अब समय कम है लेकिन कुछ बातें जो भाजपा से ज्यादा मोदी जी को समझनी आवश्यक हैं,
यह बात सही है कि भाजपा से वोटर का मोहभंग हुआ है
2. चूंकि 2014 में लोगों ने मोदी को चुना था, भाजपा को नहीं इसलिए यह मोहभंग मोदी से है भाजपा से नहीं।
3. लेकिन इसका कारण राजनैतिक से अधिकमनोवैज्ञानिक है
4. क्योंकि जब किसी लहर के बहाव में बहकर लोग मतदान करते हैं तो वो भावना से प्रेरित होता है राजनीति से नहीं
5,. ऐसे में अधिकांश वो दल एकतरफा जीत हासिल करता है जिसके पक्ष में लहर होती है जैसे इंदिरा गांधी और राजीव गांधी की हत्या के बाद कांग्रेस को सहानुभूति लहर का फायदा मिला था और उसने स्पष्ठ बहुमत प्राप्त किया था
6. 2014 में देश में मौजूद मोदी लहर की भावना से भाजपा सत्ता में आई
7. लोगों ने मोदी की आक्रामक एवं एक कट्टर हिंदूवादी कर्मठ प्रशासक छवि को वोट दिया था जो उन्होंने पहले 2001 में गुजरात को भयानक भूकंप से उपजी तबाही और फिर गुजरात को 2002 के दंगों के बाद उपजी अराजकता से उबार कर देश के मानचित्र पर तेजी से उभरती अर्थव्यवस्था वाला प्रदेश बनाकर कमाई थी।
8. लेकिन केंद्र में आते ही मोदी ने पहली गलती अपनी छवि बदलने का प्रयास कर के की। पूरे देश के जनमानस में अपने लिए स्वीकार्यता बनाने के उद्देश्य से “सबका साथ सबका विकास” के नारे से अपनी कट्टर हिंदूवादी की छवि से बाहर निकलने का प्रयास किया। इसके बजाए अगर वो अपनी “उसी छवि के साथ” सबका विकास करते तो उन्हें कहीं बेहतर परिणाम मिलते।
9. देश ने जब मोदी को चुना था तो देश की उनसे बहुत अपेक्षाएँ थीं जिन्हें उन्होंने भी “अच्छे दिन आने वाले हैं” के नारे से काफी बढ़ा दिया था।
10. लेकिन उन्होंने दूसरी गलती यह की, कि लोगों की अपेक्षाएं पूरी करने के बजाए उनसे अपेक्षाएँ करने लगे (कि वे उनके कठोर निर्णयों में उनका साथ दें)।
11. लोगों ने भी विपक्ष की आशा के विपरीत नोटबन्दी और जीएसटी जैसे कठोर निर्णयों के बावजूद मोदी की झोली उत्तरप्रदेश हरियाणा और गुजरात में भर दी। देश मोदी की अपेक्षाओं पर खरा उतरता गया और मोदी मदमस्त होते गए। लेकिन यह भूल गए कि उन्हें भी देश की अपेक्षाओं पर खरा उतरना है।
12. वो अपने पारंपरिक वोट बैंक को टेकेन फ़ॉर ग्रांटेड लेते गए, यह उनकी तीसरी और सबसे बड़ी भूल थी।
13. जो भाजपा कहती थी कि मुस्लिम उसे कभी वोट नहीं देते और जिसके वोट के बिना वो सत्ता में आई वो उस वोट बैंक में सेंध डालने की नीतियाँ बनाने में इतनी मशगूल हो गई कि अपने चुनावी मेनिफेस्टो को ही भूल गयी। देश यूनिफॉर्म सिविल कोड, 35A ,370, कश्मीरी पंडितों के पुनर्वास जैसे फैसलों का इंतजार करता रहा और यह तीन तलाक की लड़ाई लड़ते रहे।
14. जिस मिडिल क्लास के दम पर भाजपा सत्ता में आई उसके फाइनेंस मिनिस्टर ने अपने पहले ही बजट में उसके सपने यह कहकर तोड़ दिए कि मध्यम वर्ग को अपना ख्याल खुद ही रखना होगा
15. जो सवर्ण समाज उसका कोर वोटबैंक था उसे एट्रोसिटी एक्ट का तोहफा दिया।
16. मोदी यह अच्छी तरह जानते हैं कि भारत का माध्यम वर्ग ही वो एकमात्र ऐसा वोटबैंक हैं जो नैतिक मूल्यों के साथ जीता है और बिकाऊ नहीं है (जबकि उच्च वर्ग की नैतिकता वहाँ होती है जहाँ उनके स्वार्थ की पूर्ति होती है)। शायद इसलिए उन्होंने इसका सबसे ज्यादा फायदा भी उठाया लेकिन अब नुकसान भी उठा रहे हैं।
17. और सबसे बड़ी भूल, मोदी समझ नहीं पाए कि जिन “दलितों शोषितों वंचितों” का जिक्र वो अपने हर भाषण में करते हैं और जिनके लिए वे उज्ज्वला सौभाग्य आयुष्मान प्रधानमंत्री आवास शौचालय निर्माण जैसी योजनाएं लेकर अपना वोटबैंक बनाने की सोच रहे हैं, वो पुरूष एक शराब की बोतल और महिलाएं चार साड़ी के नशे में वोट डालते हैं सरकारी योजनाएं देखकर नहीं। क्योंकि यह उनकी मजबूरी है क्योंकि वे पढ़े लिखे नहीं हैं वे अखबार नहीं पढते और ना ही उनके साक्षात्कार सुनते हैं।
और सबसे महत्वपूर्ण बात जो मोदी भूल गए, कि यह वो देश है जहाँ चुनाव काम के दम पर नहीं वोटबैंक और जातीय गणित के आधार पर जीते जाते हैं, जहाँ वोट विकास के नाम पर नहीं आरक्षण या कर्ज़ माफी के नाम पर मिलते हैं।
लेकिन 2014 में देश में मोदी का कोई वोटबैंक नहीं था अगर था तो केवल गुजरात में था फिर भी मोदी को पुरे देश में वोट मिले। क्यों? क्या किसी जाति विशेष ने दिया था? नहीं, बल्कि लोगों ने जाती का भेद भूला के वोट दिया था। क्या मोदी ने आरक्षण या कर्जमाफी का लालच दिया था? नहीं, लोगों ने विकास के नाम पर वोट दिया था। कुल मिलाकर मोदी की छवि के आकर्षण के आगे सभी चुनावी समीकरण गलत सिद्ध हुए। लेकिन अफसोस मोदी ने सत्ता में आते ही स्वयं को उसी छवि से मुक्त करने के प्रयास शुरू कर दिए जो आत्मघाती सिद्ध हुए।
इसलिए मोदी को समझना चाहिए कि लोगों का आकर्षण “मोदी” से अधिक उनकी दबंग हिंदूवादी छवि के प्रति था। उन्हें शेख हसीना से सीखना चाहिए कि सबको साथ लेकर चलने के लिए इच्छाशक्ति की जरूरत होती है छवि बदलने की नहीं।
In Mahabharata, Satyavathi, otherwise called as Matsyagandhi is described as the most calculative, politically cleaver and quite mean mother but Indian politics has produced much for calculative, cleaver and cunning mother and certainly a son as well.
The Hastinapur king, Shantanu once got obsessed with Sathyvati and wants to marry her. Satyavathi agreed to marry the King Shantanu but with one condition that her children alone should inherit the throne of the king and not the eldest son of Shantanu, Bhisma. The obsession of Shantanu over Satyavathi made him to finally yield to the condition of Satyavathi and then married her. But unfortunately both sons of Satyavathi born out of Shantanu, Chitrangada and Vichitravirya died childless and finally the other Son of Satyavathi– Vyasa who was born to her previous husband was brought to the queens of Chitrangada and Vichitravirya to continue the lineage.
If we witness the scenes in the political theatre in India, the party that follows the great culture of dynasty has lots of similarity with the behaviour of Satyavathi. Like how the King Shantanu was so blind and obsessed submitted to the conditions of Satyavathi and agreed that her children alone can inherit the throne of Hastinapur, the entire party of the dynast due to its obsession and blind greed for power, agreed to coronate the son of the Satyavathi of the party as king and the face of Prime Minister candidate of the party. Like how when the situation warranted, even the other son of Satyavahti– Vyasa born to her previous husband was called for the continuation of the dynasty, the daughter and son-in-law of the Satyavathi are also groomed and propped by the sycophants as plan B for India.
If Bhisma had inherited Hastinapur, the great Mahabharata was would not have happened. But the right of Bhisma was snatched by the mother (Satyavathi) due to her greed and obsession that her son alone should become king and not others. It we study the party of the dynasty, there are several leaders in the party we can find several leaders who are quite knowledgeable, highly qualified and are in public life for decades but none of them were eligible to head the party except the son of Matstyagandhi.
The mother– son politics is deeply embroiled in the culture of the party. In the beginning the party had adopted only calf and cow as its party symbol. Indirectly it reflects nothing but the party in future is going to be owned a mother and son and the party of its workers or leaders who follow the ideology for decades, like BJP. BJP on the other hand is party of people and not a party of family or of a mother and son.
Another blind affection of a mother and how worst disaster such affection could have done to our country also we can find in Mahabharata. Gandhari, the mother of Duryodhana wants to make her notorious, wretched son immortal during Mahabharata war by transferring all her spiritual powers onto him. If that ploy had ever happened due to such blind affection, India would have got disintegrated long before but Lord Krishana did not allow such nefarious ploy to happen.
Today Prime Minister Narendra Modi is trying his best to save India from the clutches of dynasty and from several dolls that knows only to dance to the tunes of mother and son. Therefore people of India must realize the truth that the need of the hour is that India must be saved from mother and son and from many other Tukde Tukde gangs. Vision and integrity of PM Modi alone can save India and not the blind affection and obsession between mother and son for India.
Ever since we started following politics in free India, there would be few standard issues on which elections would be fought no matter whether it would be a state election or a central one. One such standard election issue used to be inflation. But have you wondered why no one is raising this issue for the upcoming 2019 general elections? The answer lies in the data.
To throw some facts, during UPA – 1 regime inflation always went northwards year on year starting from 4.2% in 2005 to 10.9% in 2009. During UPA -2 regime as well it was always in alarming zone. It recorded 12% in 2010, 8.9% in 2011, 9.3% in 2012 and 10.9% in 2013. After NDA came to power inflation has declined steadily from 6.7% in 2014 to 4.9% in 2015 & 2016, 3.3% in 2017 and 4.7% in 2018.
Thus, Inflation is no longer an issue for 2019 elections. It has been well under control in the regime of current NDA government. This is a commendable job done by the government and RBI on one very important macroeconomic factor which impact masses. It becomes more significant because this has been achieved while keeping interest rates low as which has helped in overall growth as well.
Another important point to note is that even when fuel prices went up, inflation remained in control. In last 5 years highest petrol and diesel prices were observed in the months of September, October and November 2018. In these 3 months the inflation rate was 3.69%, 3.77% and 3.31% respectively. This shows that supply chain system of India has also improved. In UPA regimes we always used to see a direct correlation between fuel prices and food inflation.
This is a huge positive change and one of the main achievements of current government. This should be put forward repeatedly in public forums TV by people having faith in current government. It is baffling to see that no one is raising questions on UPA government’s mis-management of inflation even though we had an economist as our prime minister!
We love to argue and debate in politics subjectively without looking at data. One such issue has been Rafale deal on which so many cacophonous uproars have happened without any data and logic. Recently while watching the coverage for elections held in 5 states, I heard Ashutosh (AAP fame journalist) claiming inflation is one of the issues that would decide elections results in 5 states elections. It is so convenient to use a standard template while providing arguments knowing that inflation is always an issue. How can people be so away from facts and say such blatant lies so convincingly on national news channels? Perhaps it is an art he acquired from his association with AAP or perhaps we don’t question such people very hard?
It’s true that politics is about perception but in the age of information, data should also be looked at to make our own judgements.
I had written in my article ‘The travails of Jet Airways’ in Merinews on 03/11/2018 the following: Now for Jet Airways mess, obviously, the present foreign controlled owners and management are responsible for they did not or could not build up a reserve when the fuel prices were low for meeting contingencies such as it is now. Therefore, hopefully they will relinquish management control and sell off their controlling holdings in favour of an interested professional and cash rich group at a proper valuation well before the situation becomes hopeless.
The airline has already defaulted on its payment of lease rentals on its leased aircrafts. It has delayed salaries, laid off staff, grounded planes and pruned flights. It has been trying to coax strategic partner Etihad Airways to buy more stake in the carrier, but the Gulf airline won’t budge unless it gets chairman founder Naresh Goyal’s controlling stake. Goyal isn’t willing to cede. Etihad owns 24% in Jet. Earlier it negotiated with Tatas too, but similarly backed out.
Moreover, the company has large debt repayments due by March 2019 (Rs.1700 crore), FY 2020 (Rs. 2444.5 crore) and FY 2021 (Rs. 2167.9 crore). Jet has also proposed to SBI and the lending consortium for liquidity assistance and alternatively to convert its loans to equity. The lenders have said they won’t provide any assistance until Jet’s founders and shareholders put in cash into the airline.
Now, Jet Airways has delayed loan repayments as on December 31 and this will likely land Jet in the 180-day cycle of loan restructuring according to the latest RBI rules. The rules announced on Feb 12, 2018 abolished all earlier debt rejig mechanisms and put in place a stringent 180-day timeline post even one day of default, at the end of which the company is put under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code if the debt issue hasn’t been resolved by then.
For the first 90 days, the lenders would discuss with Jet and monitor the loans checking whether it becomes a non-performing asset (in other words if the credit has soured). That happening, lenders would for the subsequent 90 days try to restructure the debt, failing which the airline is put under IBC.
Jet Airways is in discussions with its largest lender to SBI for raising short-term loans worth Rs. 1,500 crore. The airline is looking to mop up these funds to meet its working capital requirement as well as for meeting some payment obligations. Jet Airways is expected to provide Etihad Airways’ guarantee for this financing, This not happening, IBC appears to be the best thing that can happen to Jet Airways under the present circumstances whereby adequate management and fund infusion is expected to occur.
The writer is a long-standing commentator on contemporary issues
Tamil Nadu politics is moving towards a new era of confusion and chaos with almost the same DNA and Gene of Periyar Dravidian-ism. The debate on the origin, meaning and tainted intention of introducing, imposing, converting and then establishing Tamil identity as Dravidian race is gaining steam and momentum with the arrival of Illuminati scientists in Tamil Nadu politics. The views of Illuminati scientists on Dravidian politics and how it has distorted the identity and culture of Tamils and amassed power with single narrative of hatred and negativism against Brahmins certainly has great merit.
According to the evidences provided by several scholars and scientists of Illuminati school, the term Dravidian has no connection with Tamil race or culture or literature and the term was referred in Sanskrit work – Manu smriti. Further evidence also shows that the great Tamil spiritual scholar of 12th centuary Thirigannan Sampantha Murthy Nair was referred as ‘Dravida Sisu’ by Adi Shankara. It shows that the Brahmins were referred as Dravidar. Further, the reference Dravidar is also used as surname by some sects of Brahmins. All the above evidences only cause greater confusion and pandemonium and not clarity on why and how the ‘Periyar ists’ chose the term Dravida to define entire Tamil people instead of calling them as Tamilar raise serious doubt.
It looks like to hide, cover up and whitewash some bigger truth, the term Dravidian might have been invented and intelligently the Tamil feelings and sentiments were retained but the identity was erased with another identity tag called Dravidian.
Some of the prominent political leaders who championed for the Tamil cause in Tamil Nadu politics including Periyar do not strictly belong to Tamil race by birth. Therefore defining and imposing a new nomenclature to the Tamil race might have been needed to the non- Tamil champions of Tamils because the straight reference – Tamilar may pose some uncomfortable situation to their non-Tamil identity. May be to avoid such situation, the champions of the so called Tamil cause in Tamil Nadu politics would have preferred to use the term Dravidian and not Tamilan theory appear logical and brilliant.
To unite people for power, the champions of Dravidian politics used repeatedly Dravidian identity and Aryan dominance, abused and propagated anti Brahmin venom and simultaneously also implanted inferiority complex and a sense weakness among people of the state by calling them repeatedly ‘Sudra’, barbarian, the Tamil language as the most obscurant and useless etc., by Periyar.
The disciple of Periyar although may intelligently set the contexts to justify the negative stand taken by Periyar towards Tamil culture, language and people but the absolute truth that he abused the language, people and culture cannot be absolved.
More than the alleged suppression of Tamil people by Brahmins, the insult and inferiority complex infused by Periyar among people is much more. The extent he abused and mocked Brahmin, he also did against Tamil people, culture and language.
The political landscape of the state has not changed much. The Tamil Desiya Iyakkam looks like today it is not yet even fertilized, let alone it can grow as a formidable alternative force to the farcical Tamil champions called Dravidian brigades but however the genes and DNA of Tamil Desiya Iyakkam also shares absolute homology with the DNA and genes of Dravidian politics.
The Tamil Desiya Iyakkam may oppose the term Dravidian and may progressively link the term more with Brahmins than with Dravidian politics so that both can merge later. It means anti-Brahmin, Brahmin hatred dominated politics, political narratives of how gullible and innocent were Tamil people to buy the political theory called Dravidian-ism promoted by Periyar along with Tamil chauvinism are only going to be the new narratives of Tamil Desiya Iyakkam.
Re-invent and preserve Tamil culture and progress should be the political philosophy of Tamil Desiya Iyakkam and not politics of hatred, negativism and anti-Brahmin venom.
Such hate politics is not going to harm Brahmin community because the biggest contribution of Periyar is reforming Brahmins in Tamil Nadu than any other community.
Brahmin community has produced several world renowned scientists who have won Nobel prize, heads several top corporates, top bureaucrats, top judges, top advocates and simultaneously the community also has poor priests, cooks, house hold workers and beggars etc. More than any other community, inter-caste, inter religion and inter- national marriages are also quite high among Brahmin community.
Therefore spitting venom against a particular community will do no good to the state or its people but instead how to develop the state; how to integrate the wisdom and intelligence of everyone to make the path for the progress of the state should be the intention and philosophy of all those who really want to make new Tamil Nadu.
Certainly Dravidian politics only fomented caste politics and it has not eliminated caste system. If the intention of Dravidian politics were true, as soon as they came to power, they should have declared that no caste system within Dravidians as Brahmins were already isolated and excluded as Aryan race.
Progressive, embracing and single identity political philosophy is the need of the hour and PM Narendra Modi is working hard to perpetuate the same political philosophy in Tamil Nadu as well. Hope progressive wisdom and not hatred and negativism shall be the fulcrum of our new politics.
