Uddhav Thackeray left BJP (and NDA) to form government and become the CM in 2019 after the elections and formed the MahaVikasAghadi (MVA) and this incident was not taken lightly by the BJP high command (especially Mota Bhai).
After this Mota Bhai took his revenge with interest against Uddhav Thackeray with the help of Eknath Shinde ji. ECI has allotted ShivSena name and symbol to Eknath Shinde ji and giving Uddhav Thackeray flame torch.
So the question is what’s next for Uddhav?
Before Eknath ji’s revolt ShivSena had strength in MMR, Marathwada and North Maharashtra.
Vidarbha is BJP bastion with direct contest between BJP and Congress but last time BJP lost 15 seats due to internal fights and wrong caste equations but this time BJP is very strong here and with Chandrashekhar Bawankule ji as Maharashtra BJP president BJP has OBC votes with it and RPI will bring SC votes and Kunbi and Mali votes are shifting to BJP+.
Developement is also an important factor in the region and Devendra Fadnavis ji has huge popularity in this region.
The government policies are also very popular and Jalyukta Shivir Yojana will also help BJP.
SS has very less cadre in Vidarbha and that too have shifted to Shinde ji and UT will not win a single seat from this region.
Marathwada is Hindutva fortress and therefore most of the SS cadre have shifted towards Shinde ji and moreover the decision to rename Aurangabad as Sambhajinagar and Osmanabad as Dharshiv are masterstrokes and BJP is also very strong and Ashok Chavan can shift to BJP.
UT will not win a single assembly constituency from this region but can win Dharshiv Lok Sabha because of good reputation of MP.
Konkan – This was stronghold of UT once but he is not winning a single seat as Sindhudurg District is Narayan Raje’s stronghold and Shinde ji has strength in Ratnagiri district and Raigad District.
In Palghar District BVA is supporting NDA and UT is not winning a single seat.
In North Maharashtra, Nandurbar and Dhule district are BJP’s stronghold and in Jalgaon Girish Mahajan and Gulab Patil are strongman and in these areas NDA is very strong and in Nashik BJP and SS are gaining and SS cadre is with Shinde ji.
Therefore UT is not winning a single seat here.
Thane is Shinde Ji’s bastion and therefore no seat for UT.
UT will not win a single seat in Western Maharashtra as it is clear competition between NDA vs Cong-NCP and therefore UT has no presence here.
Last remaining is Mumbai and this is the only place where UT can win but it will win only 2-3 seats – Worli, Dindoshi and Jogeshwari East.
If Sachin Ahir and Sunil Prabhu are taken into BJP or SS then UT will lose Worli and Dindoshi and Jogeshwari will be a tough fight.
This is the best political revenge by Mota Bhai and Deva Bhau.
Jai Shree Ram.