Monday, May 25, 2020
Home Opinions Phulpur- Gorakhpur could be a blessing in disguise for BJP, if only…

Phulpur- Gorakhpur could be a blessing in disguise for BJP, if only…

Also Read

Another big bye-poll loss and another big blow to the ruling BJP. Much has been said and discussed about the defeat, causes analysed and opinions given by all and sundry. Is the situation that bad? Are the poll results an aberration or a trend in the making? (Worse, is it a well-set trend already probably?) Is there a seething anger-wave against the BJP across the Hindi belt?

From Rajasthan to MP to UP, the results certainly point towards one trend- that the BJP is neither able to hold on to its own seats nor win new ones, except the lone seat in Bihar. The only prudent way for the top strategists for the BJP to look at the trend is to assume that their grip over the Hindi belt is loosening and find ways to reverse the trend.

Two assumptions hold good here: first that the ruling party is doing something terribly wrong and two, that what they are doing right is not enough. Add to this another real possibility of the opposition closing ranks against the BJP and it is a no brainer that the BJP is in big trouble.

 

It is common knowledge that the people voted in 2014 on the basis of the promises made by the PM during the run-up to the general elections; more for Modi than for the BJP. To be more precise, it was for his model of development which took the campaign form of Sab Ka Saath; Sab Ka Vikaas and Acche Din. One need not be a genius to understand that one term is not enough to do all that was promised and probably, the common man is still ready to give another chance to Modi. But what turns him away is the unabashedly open pursuing of Hindutva related issues that are of nil relevance to the non-core supporter.

In a country used to leftist and centre left propaganda, where right wing ideology is suppressed for decades and also, people have been put in all kinds of places to scream intolerance and divisiveness, at the drop of a hat, people would not take kindly if issues like Gau Raksha, beef eating etc., gain prominence, especially when larger and more important issues connected with day to day living bear heavily in the minds of the people. With the promised Acche Din not being seen to be delivered, with difficulties caused by demonetization and GST, with rural and agrarian distress being more real than just a media creation, with the security situation vis-a-vis Pakistan and China not being perceived as any better compared to 2014, the only section of the society that was still supporting the BJP was the middle class, but all that changed on Feb 1. With no new tax relief and the ill-advised LTCG, the finance minister demolished that big pillar too. Thus the non-core BJP voter has every reason to feel betrayed. The only reason why they might still vote for the BJP is to give it more time to deliver. But if time and political energy are spent on other non-core issues, the voter is not likely to give the benefit of doubt to the BJP and is more likely to hold it accountable for its failures.

A week back, the ruling party was on a high over the fact that the country has been painted saffron more or less fully, except for a few states. The danger of its losing a few of them in the elections to be held later this year seems to be quite real, if it does not get its act together and puts in place, a robust course correction.

 

The big X-factor in all this are the regional parties and they know that while the BJP plays hard and continues to grow and expand at their expense, the Congress is at its weakest moment in its history. No amount of gloating over the BJP’s bye-poll losses can hide the loss of its candidate deposits and the reversal in the North-East. Therefore, they would be more than willing to do business with it than the BJP.

The bye-elections provide one silver lining though, for the BJP- it is now more or less certain that it is going to face a determined and united opposition that will include most of the regional parties. There is still enough time to strategize and prepare for the big fight ahead.  With a properly planned and executed course correction, the BJP may still pull it off. Let us not forget that in 2014, the AIADMK got 37 out of 39 seats, even while going alone.

- advertisement -

  Support Us  

OpIndia is not rich like the mainstream media. Even a small contribution by you will help us keep running. Consider making a voluntary payment.

Trending now

Latest News

भारतीय भाषाई विविधता पर हावी पश्चिमीकरण और हमारी दुर्बलता

संस्कृत विश्व की पुरातन भाषा है और वर्तमान की सभी भाषाओं की उत्पत्ति इसी भाषा से हुई है किन्तु आज यही संस्कृत भाषा विलोपित होती जा रही है। उससे भी बड़ी विडम्बना यह है कि हम स्वयं अपनी भाषागत परंपरा का पश्चिमीकरण कर रहे हैं। (by @omdwivedi93)

COVID 19- Agonies of Odisha Sarpanches no one is talking about

While the delegation of the collector power to the Sarpanch is being welcomed by all, the mismanagement has put an woe among these people's representatives.

The implications of structural changes brought by Coronavirus – Part 1

Many companies will move towards greater share of employees working from home with a weekly one to two day gathering for team building purposes. The IT industry in India estimates that close to 50 per cent of the country’s 4.3 million IT workers will soon work from home.

Saving the idea of India

Should Mickey (Valmiki) have not been more inclusive and given name Rehman instead of Hanuman and Agatha instead of Agastya? Such bandicoot the wrier was!

Feminism is nice, but why settle for a lesser idea?

Feminism talks about only women, Devi talks about humanity and cares for everyone equally as a compassionate mother (real gender neutrality)

Centre’s Amphan package for West Bengal should be low in ‘cash’, high in ‘kind’

while helping the state, the centre must reduce the cash disbursement as much as possible. The corruption through misappropriation is believed to be directly proportional to the 'cash component' in a package.

Recently Popular

तीन ऐसे लोग जिन्होंने बताया कि पराजय अंत नहीं अपितु आरम्भ है: पढ़िए इन तीन राजनैतिक योद्धाओं की कहानी

ये तीन लोग हैं केंद्रीय मंत्री श्रीमती स्मृति ईरानी, दिल्ली भाजपा के युवा एवं ऊर्जावान नेता एवं समाजसेवी कपिल मिश्रा एवं तजिंदर पाल सिंह बग्गा। इन तीनों की कहानी बड़ी ही रोचक एवं प्रेरणादायी है।

सावधान: सोशल मीडिया का गलत इस्तेमाल कर छात्र-छात्राओं को किया जा रहा गुमराह!

अगर इन्टरनेट पर उपलब्ध जानकारियाँ गलत हो या संस्थाओं से प्रेरित हो तब तो आपका ऐसे संस्थाओं के जाल में फसना निश्चित है और इसका एहसास आपको जब होगा तब तक बहुत देर हो चुकी होगी।

ABVP and RSS volunteers conduct door-to-door screening of residents in Mumbai

Volunteers of ABVP and RSS began door to door screening in slum pockets of Nehru Nagar in Mumbai, equipped with PPE sets and directed by doctors on board, and screened over 500 people in total in the last three days.

AMU की पाक ज़मीं से उपजा भारत के Secularism का रखवाला निर्देशक

अगर अनुभव सिन्हा एक एजेंडा से भरे निर्देशक नहीं बल्कि सचमुच दलितों के पक्ष कार एवं भला चाहने वाले व्यक्ति हैं तो क्या वे अलीगढ़ मुस्लिम यूनिवर्सिटी जिसके वह alumni रहे हैं में दलित आरक्षण के मुद्दे को उठाएंगे? क्या देश के अन्य विश्वविद्यालयों की तरह एएमयू जैसे विश्वविद्यालय में भी दलितों को आरक्षण का अधिकार नहीं?

Ayan invasion theory- A myth

What’s shocking to me is that a certain section of India holds up to the AIT and consistently tries to prove it right despite many genetic/ archeological/ historical evidences. Now who is that section that I am referring to ? The “left” of India.