Monday, August 10, 2020
Home Opinions Modi is at crossroads and possibly facing biggest test of nerves

Modi is at crossroads and possibly facing biggest test of nerves

Also Read

 

Modi-Doval Huddle

Uri attacks, timed with the intent to internationalize Kashmir at UNGA, seem to have failed its objective, and instead dented Pakistan’s diplomatic credits (whatever is left of it), as both USA and UK – the two key western powers with history and interest in the region – choose to ignore call for “talks”, while strongly condemning the act of terror. Equally eroding Kashmiri’s moral legitimacy of indigenous freedom struggle.

However, for Pakistani establishment, international shame is no longer a matter of concern, as it’s perfected the art of subduing these under the rhetoric of victimhood and western saazish. The net tangible gain for Pakistan in this entire episode has been sifar – but then it has never been in the past – be it Kargil or Mumbai 26/11 & alike incidents. What it does though is help satiate domestic thirst for standing up against the hegemony of Hindu India, especially the current Hindu nationalist dispensation of Modi, and therefore domestically the costs of such episodes are deemed acceptable.

That said, what the Uri episode managed to do is, inadvertently put focus on Prime Minster Modi’s self-set rhetorical benchmark when dealing with Pakistan inflicted terrorism, increasing the possibility of overt conflict between the two nuclear-armed neighbors.

Over the couple years, Modi-Doval combo has managed to create trouble for Pakistan army, first for India since 1980’s and reversing an otherwise ‘muted’ security policy. While covert means can be effective and be sustained for long, as they comes along with a cloak of deniability, but are politically ineffectual as laypersons back home don’t read between lines. The Modi-Doval combo has inflicted cost on Pakistani terror misadventures by worsening already fragile ethnic fault lines within Pakistan, be it in Balochistan or Khyber Pakhtunkha, or the widening Shia-Sunni rift, or even pushing back fauji encirclement of Pakistani PM Nawaz Sharif. But to expect, only covert policies can bring about a change in Pakistan army’s behavior is naïve and preposterous. Further, as seen in the context of Uri attacks, it doesn’t assuage public perception, pushing Indian government to the brink of overt, visible action. But can Modi risk priorities of economic growth, that aspirational India voted him for, again – something which India absolutely needs to counter the threat of a rising China?

Modi is at crossroads and possibly facing its biggest test of nerves, especially when your options are limited due to lack of conventional military strength that can deliver on strategic gains quickly. Any full-fledged action, in the current balance of power, would most likely result in stalemate, not to mention its impact on economic growth for India. Even assuming, in near future, India musters and delivers surgical strike, restoring J&K to pre-1947 territory, but would it result in change of Pakistan army’s behavior? Absolutely not, in fact, this would further amplify its already irrational and violent behavior.

 

What is the solution?

Pajer (1998) established the theory of “homotypic continuity”, basically the relationship between delinquent behavior among boys and criminal behavior as adults. The theory proposes that, difficult childhood could eventually cause the grown up adult to take more impulsive risks and possibly increase the risk of mental health problems and behavioral issues.

As argued earlier, Pakistan is an abnormal country. And if it were a person, it would fit perfectly in the theory of homotypic continuity. Pakistan’s problem began in the seeds of its creation, with the narrative built around the premise of Muslims of the sub-continent being superior, if not equal, to the Hindus and thus yearning for literal equity in governance and rule, despite numerical insufficiency, and thus disparaging the idea of modern secular republic.

 

The seeds of this animosity with Hindus, along with violent birth and continued defeats in pursuit of supremacy, had only turned Pakistan irrational, impulsive, violent and in the apt diagnosis of Prof. Christine Fair – a revisionist state.

Psychologists suggest that once into adult, the person with such behavioral disorder is very likely to continue to have it for most of their lives, unless there is occurrence of psychological mutation resulting in healing of brain. A terrible conclusion in our case, especially for India, Afghanistan and Iran, given that you cannot incarcerate an entire nation for eternity and neither can you choose to ignore a neighbor, nor hope for psychological mutation to happen in a degenerating society.

The clinical solution, to this, then is – death, not in the literal sense of the word but the idea of Pakistan or to use the cliché – nazaria-e-pakistan. And for this to happen, Pakistan as it stands today, in name, identity, form must cease to exist. The, How – of demise of nazaria e pakistan, is debatable. And while we continue to hope for psychological mutation in the form of leadership change in Pakistan to deliver it for us, until then the region as a whole would not see peace.

In this context of unyielding behavior issue, Modi’s India cannot afford to remain mute nor rely solely on covert means, risking loss of political audience back home. And, to bring about the demise of nazaria e pakistan – it would take more than a Modi to pull it off.

  Support Us  

OpIndia is not rich like the mainstream media. Even a small contribution by you will help us keep running. Consider making a voluntary payment.

Trending now

Latest News

राम मंदिर और भारतीय संस्कृति

राम मंदिर का निर्माण भारतीय संस्कृति की रक्षा एवं उत्थान की ओर बड़ी छलांग है, सदियों से विदेशी आक्रांताओं ने न केवल भारत को लूटा अपितु उसकी संस्कृति को नष्ट भ्रष्ट करने का यथासम्भव प्रयास किया।

Here’s why the idea of placing a time capsule beneath Ram temple should be taken seriously

Burying of a time capsule, if at all done, should bury the claim that Hinduism is the other face of Indian nationalism. Its time to change the narrative test Hindutva should become BJP’s achilles heel.

Ayodhya: From secular to a Hindu state

Ayodhya existed before the temple, will it cease to exist and be changed to RamJanmBhoomi or will it thrive despite the best efforts of politicians to ruin it?

Ayatollah Khamenei’s Hindi Twitter account: What is cooking?

Iran's supreme leader Ayotallah Khamenei has opened a twitter account in Hindi. This action is serious, Indian intelligence agencies and Bhartiyas must be on alert, especially since this action comes in a span of few days of the Bhumi Pujan ceremony of Shri Ram Janma Bhumi.

Why my village celebrated Diwali on 5th August

Ram Mandir has been a hot political issue since decades but should that reduce the glory of this auspicious day?

In fight between secularists and nationalists, journalism loses its purpose

It is needless to remind, in democratic system of governance, the institution of media or the profession of journalism plays one of...

Recently Popular

Are Indian history text books really biased?

Contributions of many dynasties, kings and kingdoms find no mention in our text books. Post independence history is also not adequately covered in our text books.

Two nation theory after independence

Two Nation Theory was the basis of partition of India. Partition was accepted based on the assumption that the Muslims staying back in India because they rejected the Two Nation theory. However, later decades proved that Two Nation Theory is not only subscribed by a large section of Indian Muslims but also being nourished by the appeasement politics.

आदिवासी दिवस के बहाने अलगाववाद की राजनीति

दिवासी अथवा जनजातियों को उनके अधिकार दिलाने की मुहिम दिखने वाला "आदिवासी दिवस" नाम का यह आयोजन ऊपर से जितना सामान्य और साधारण दिखाई देता है वो उससे कहीं अधिक उलझा हुआ है।

Striking similarities between the death of Parveen Babi and Sushant Singh Rajput: A mere co-incidence or well planned murders?

Together Rhea and Bhatt’s media statements subtly and cleverly project Sushant as some kind of a nut job like Parveen Babi, another Bhatt conjuring.

The story of Lord Jagannath and Krishna’s heart

But do we really know the significance of this temple and the story behind the incomplete idols of Lord Jagannath, Lord Balabhadra and Maa Shubhadra?
Advertisements